Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $20 | 53¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $20 | 68¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 36¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
China coup attempt before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$11 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$12 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.1¢ | 1.6¢ | -$3 |
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.6¢ | 3.6¢ | -$6 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.4¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 8.2¢ | -$2 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Boxing | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 48¢ | 6.5¢ | -$17 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $10 | 37¢ | 9.5¢ | -$7 |
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.5¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.8¢ | +$0 |
Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump’s remarks not air?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Macron out by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |