← Whale Watch

xlefgerx

Predicting since Oct 2024509 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.5K across 11 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6972.5¢2.4¢-$43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.1K19¢9.5¢-$534
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5960.9¢0.5¢-$224
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$83649¢21¢-$481
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2671.8¢2.1¢+$47
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2910.7¢0.7¢-$8
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4251.5¢0.9¢-$148
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$2315.2¢4.8¢-$22
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2210.9¢0.7¢-$62
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$722.6¢5.4¢+$77
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1690.8¢0.7¢-$25
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1760.7¢0.5¢-$33
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2500.6¢0.4¢-$107
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2230.7¢0.4¢-$81
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1990.5¢0.4¢-$61
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2091.6¢1.1¢-$72
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1584.6¢3.6¢-$34
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2610.5¢0.3¢-$138
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$882.1¢2.4¢+$9
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2270.6¢0.3¢-$139
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$11022¢14¢-$38
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsYes$4521¢18¢-$7
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$14016¢4.3¢-$102
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$5319¢14¢-$15
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$423.0¢2.4¢-$9
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6112¢5.5¢-$33
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$110.3¢0.7¢+$16
Will Trump deport more than 1m people?PoliticsYes$563.8¢1.8¢-$29
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$6731¢12¢-$41
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1000.2¢0.1¢-$75
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$120.9¢1.8¢+$12
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?TechYes$265.0¢4.5¢-$3
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?TechYes$135.2¢9.0¢+$10
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?PoliticsYes$232.2¢2.0¢-$3
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?PoliticsYes$161.3¢1.5¢+$2
Will Trump deport 700-800k people?PoliticsYes$171.6¢1.6¢+$0
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$140.3¢0.3¢-$1
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?PoliticsYes$308.9¢3.1¢-$20
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$151.1¢0.8¢-$5
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$131.2¢0.9¢-$3
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?PoliticsYes$225.3¢2.3¢-$13
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$121.7¢1.3¢-$3
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$71.6¢1.8¢+$1
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other sportsYes$3211¢2.6¢-$25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$42.6¢4.7¢+$3
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$230.5¢0.1¢-$16
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?PoliticsYes$40.7¢1.1¢+$2
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$31.2¢2.3¢+$3
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?PoliticsYes$14.3¢15¢+$4
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$392.7¢0.4¢-$34
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?TechYes$111¢85¢+$4
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$12.1¢8.3¢+$3
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? eSportsYes$84.8¢2.5¢-$4
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.4¢0.1¢-$6
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?TechYes$10.4¢0.9¢+$2
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$161.2¢0.3¢-$12
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$211.0¢0.1¢-$18
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?TechYes$21.3¢1.7¢+$1
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$91.9¢0.5¢-$7
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$712¢4.0¢-$5
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPoliticsSomething$14.4¢8.7¢+$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$41.4¢0.8¢-$2
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$76.5¢1.8¢-$5
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$70.5¢0.1¢-$5
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$153.9¢0.4¢-$13
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$50.4¢0.1¢-$3
Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsYes$20.4¢0.3¢-$1
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$11.4¢1.8¢+$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.3¢0.1¢-$1
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?PoliticsYesResolved$640.8¢0.0¢-$64
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$51.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$712.0¢0.0¢-$71
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$168.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will the US strike another country first?PoliticsYesResolved$120.1¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?PoliticsYesResolved$971.0¢0.0¢-$97
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tesla reach $615 in November?FinanceYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US strike Cuba next?PoliticsYesResolved$40.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$120.5¢0.0¢-$12
Will the US strike Colombia next?PoliticsYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$1619¢0.0¢-$16
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US strike Colombia next?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$3311¢0.0¢-$33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?PoliticsYesResolved$9728¢0.0¢-$97
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$150.7¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$963.5¢0.0¢-$96
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$308.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?PoliticsYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1142.1¢0.0¢-$114
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$101.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?TechYesResolved$120.8¢0.0¢-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.1K
Economy-$1.1K
Crypto-$1.0K
Tech-$1.0K
Formula 1+$89
Mentions-$85
Finance+$75
UFC / MMA-$62
World Cup+$33
eSports+$32
Other sports-$25
Other-$13
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$45
Will Trump attend UFC 322?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$018m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$019m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$020m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$020m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$023m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$044m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$41h ago