← Whale Watch

onepingonly

Predicting since Feb 202614 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $65K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $117K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$12K on SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$117K29¢20¢-$39K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2.0K42¢63¢+$976
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100025¢8.5¢-$658
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$99320¢2.8¢-$853
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$6.7K58¢0.0¢-$6.7K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$21K1.2¢0.0¢-$21K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K12¢0.0¢-$3.6K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$22K0.5¢0.0¢-$22K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$65K
Crypto-$21K
Tech+$12K
Economy-$1.5K
Biggest hit
+$12K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Toughest beat
-$4.3K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$27K1mo ago
  • Bought No · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$4.5K1mo ago
  • Bought No · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$4.9K1mo ago
  • Bought No · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$5.0K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.8K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4811mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.6K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.9K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$32mo ago