Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $100 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $54 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $50 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $40 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$8 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $36 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 41¢ | 81¢ | +$20 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 29¢ | 80¢ | +$17 |
China coup attempt before 2027?Politics | No | $21 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 34¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $10 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Tech | SpaceX | $10 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 91¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 88¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 69¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 57¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $6 | 69¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 69¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 75¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 63¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $2 | 68¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 36¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $5 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $30 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Qatar?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Knicks vs. SpursNBA | SpursResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |