 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $40 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $43 | 94¢ | 83¢ | -$5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $32 | 57¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $16 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $14 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $14 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $12 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $11 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $9 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $8 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $7 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 43¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Crypto | No | $6 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | Yes | $3 | 1.7¢ | 3.4¢ | +$3 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Tech | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 94¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $4 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.9¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $6 | 56¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by July 31?Finance | No | $4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $4 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by July 31?Finance | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
 Obama divorce before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Tech | No | $2 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
 Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $1 | 98¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?Culture | NoResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $16 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |