Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $568 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$65 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $489 | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$117 |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | No | $562 | 34¢ | 30¢ | -$75 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $1.1K | 18¢ | 6.6¢ | -$685 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $304 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$57 |
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $192 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$21 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $257 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$52 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $275 | 4.2¢ | 2.9¢ | -$80 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $266 | 42¢ | 30¢ | -$76 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $152 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$20 |
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $80 | 34¢ | 58¢ | +$56 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $215 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$94 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $176 | 15¢ | 7.8¢ | -$83 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $84 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$8 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $67 | 6.7¢ | 7.5¢ | +$8 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 73¢ | -$9 |
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $69 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $96 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$27 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $50 | 2.0¢ | 2.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $98 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$49 |
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?Culture | Yes | $93 | 33¢ | 15¢ | -$50 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Politics | Yes | $19 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $59 | 59¢ | 20¢ | -$39 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 20¢ | -$13 |
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $21 | 52¢ | 37¢ | -$6 |
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$5 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $12 | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Weather | Yes | $25 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$13 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $17 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $25 | 49¢ | 21¢ | -$14 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 1.8¢ | 1.9¢ | +$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | Yes | $62 | 54¢ | 7.5¢ | -$53 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $16 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$8 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$3 |
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | +$1 |
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 5.1¢ | 1.8¢ | -$12 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $7 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $18 | 46¢ | 12¢ | -$14 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $6 | 43¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 4.0¢ | -$13 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$1 |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 51¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $15 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $59 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $780 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$780 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $162 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$162 |
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $308 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$308 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |