JosephTrump

Predicting since May 2024380 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.4K on Politics markets since May 2024.

Right now: $30K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$24K on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	No	$15K	50¢	80¢	+$8.9K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$15K	50¢	20¢	-$8.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$5.5K	78¢	87¢	+$595
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$5.7K	46¢	44¢	-$273
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$3.5K	85¢	95¢	+$439
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics	No	$3.8K	96¢	96¢	+$10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$1.7K	32¢	24¢	-$452
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	39¢	38¢	-$30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	No	$1.3K	15¢	14¢	-$127
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$950	47¢	56¢	+$160
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance	No	$870	87¢	88¢	+$5
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$856	69¢	67¢	-$26
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics	No	$586	92¢	95¢	+$20
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics	No	$530	88¢	95¢	+$38
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics	Yes	$206	21¢	36¢	+$153
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics	No	$348	29¢	23¢	-$78
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$190	95¢	75¢	-$40
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBA	Yes	$130	87¢	99¢	+$19
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics	No	$93	62¢	69¢	+$11
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$77	98¢	98¢	-$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics	Yes	$137	63¢	27¢	-$79
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics	Yes	$38	75¢	32¢	-$22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics	Yes	$565	28¢	0.8¢	-$550
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10K	93¢	0.0¢	-$10K
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$1.3K	38¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$5.4K

Crypto+$5.0K

NFL-$4.9K

NBA-$4.6K

UFC / MMA+$4.1K

World Cup+$2.6K

NHL+$1.9K

Hockey (other)+$775

Champions League+$662

Weather+$593

Premier League+$324

eSports-$189

Biggest hit

+$24K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Toughest beat

-$8.5K

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

Sold No · Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$136h ago
Sold No · Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$496h ago
Sold No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1766h ago
Sold No · Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$157h ago
Sold Yes · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$17112h ago
Sold Yes · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$19112h ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.3K22h ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$381d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$51d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$321d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$471d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$401d ago