IronBismarck

Predicting since Jul 202518 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$140	57¢	37¢	-$51
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$40	30¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?NFL	YesResolved	$41	43¢	0.0¢	-$41
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	14¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics	NoResolved	$20	7.6¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$11	10¢	0.0¢	-$11
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$318

NFL-$41

Biggest hit

+$356

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?

Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1204mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$205mo ago
Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$205mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$36mo ago
Cashed out No · Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?$226mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$326mo ago
Cashed out No · Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$506mo ago
Cashed out No · Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?$4616mo ago
Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$2010mo ago
Bought No · US government shutdown by October 1?$2010mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?$2010mo ago
Bought No · Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?$110mo ago