 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $10 | 8.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$8 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?NFL | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US strikes Yemen by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK PlayoffseSports | BNK FEARXResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)eSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?NFL | YesResolved | $14 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Wicked: For Good win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: Joblife vs Rising Bees (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group AeSports | Rising BeesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3)eSports | KT RolsterResolved | $15 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on January 2?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on January 2?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?NFL | NoResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageeSports | OKSavingsBank BRIONResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be at least 43.0 on January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?Culture | NoResolved | $20 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on January 6?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)eSports | Top EsportsResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)eSports | DRXResolved | $7 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: Solary vs Yumeea (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group CeSports | YumeeaResolved | $11 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| LoL: BoostGate Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Group BeSports | BoostGate EsportsResolved | $11 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $90 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)eSports | Los RatonesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?NFL | NoResolved | $1 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Culture | NoResolved | $20 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas JayhawksBasketball (other) | TCU Horned FrogsResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Stefon Diggs suspended this season?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Panthers visit?Other sports | NoResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $150 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: Deer Gaming vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular SeasoneSports | Ruddy EsportsResolved | $8 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageeSports | DRXResolved | $774 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$774 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 23, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$318d ago
Sold Yes · Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$371mo ago
Sold No · Blue wave in 2026?$131mo ago
Sold Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$101mo ago
Sold No · Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?$461mo ago