← Whale Watch

Jep-G

Predicting since Jul 20251,666 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $61K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $12K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$16K on Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.0K28¢45¢+$2.3K
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsYes$6.7K36¢34¢-$455
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.6K62¢56¢-$498
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K64¢68¢+$191
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.0K57¢57¢+$42
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.8K96¢98¢+$97
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.4K18¢25¢+$840
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.0K58¢89¢+$1.1K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K45¢61¢+$790
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K91¢93¢+$30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.7K89¢91¢+$37
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K90¢92¢+$50
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$2.8K40¢34¢-$457
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$2.9K72¢57¢-$618
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K59¢71¢+$302
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$2.6K24¢15¢-$942
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K59¢65¢+$160
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K38¢33¢-$268
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K77¢83¢+$98
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K70¢73¢+$64
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K91¢95¢+$55
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K81¢79¢-$31
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$3.4K17¢7.0¢-$2.0K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1.6K48¢42¢-$224
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K68¢80¢+$196
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$1.1K27¢28¢+$54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K42¢44¢+$38
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K32¢26¢-$269
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K89¢88¢-$13
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K62¢52¢-$203
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$81581¢93¢+$118
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsYes$1.4K36¢23¢-$513
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$2.4K34¢13¢-$1.5K
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$87988¢91¢+$26
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$70678¢86¢+$63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$70761¢54¢-$78
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$47648¢59¢+$109
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$6798.5¢6.8¢-$139
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$47595¢99¢+$18
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.6K11¢2.1¢-$2.1K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$44875¢77¢+$11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$44645¢45¢-$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$61531¢22¢-$185
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$32613¢14¢+$36
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$29158¢57¢-$4
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$3296.6¢5.2¢-$69
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$48024¢13¢-$220
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$27814¢12¢-$48
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?PoliticsYes$17134¢39¢+$24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$18291¢95¢+$7
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$1553.1¢3.5¢+$18
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$11658¢82¢+$48
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$15716¢16¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceNo$4106.8¢2.3¢-$272
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$10721¢28¢+$30
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$10020¢25¢+$23
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsYes$11711¢12¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$1407.0¢5.5¢-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?FinanceNo$10255¢50¢-$10
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$8282¢87¢+$5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$3395.6¢1.5¢-$252
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$8282¢87¢+$5
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$551.4¢2.1¢+$27
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$2137.1¢2.5¢-$136
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$12512¢6.5¢-$60
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$480.9¢1.1¢+$14
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6834¢21¢-$26
Will Trump nationalize elections?PoliticsYes$3015¢20¢+$9
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2549¢75¢+$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?FinanceNo$3765¢59¢-$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2041¢63¢+$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?FinanceNo$3352¢49¢-$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3366¢56¢-$5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$3535¢24¢-$11
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?PoliticsYes$24.0¢45¢+$20
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$12048¢8.5¢-$99
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$157.3¢8.8¢+$3
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?PoliticsYes$811¢16¢+$4
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$2727¢12¢-$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsYes$9337¢4.5¢-$81
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$4590¢22¢-$34
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.8¢0.5¢-$6
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.4¢-$11
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?PoliticsYes$189.1¢4.5¢-$9
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$880¢82¢+$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.3¢-$14
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$591¢96¢+$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.1¢-$17
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.1¢-$17
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.1¢-$17
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.1¢-$17
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsYes$367¢67¢+$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$70.8¢0.1¢-$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?PoliticsYesResolved$9538¢0.0¢-$95

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$61K
Mentions+$2.1K
Tennis-$1.8K
Other+$995
Finance-$472
NBA-$330
Culture+$117
Economy+$31
Tech+$17
Formula 1-$4
World Cup+$0
Biggest hit
+$16K
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Toughest beat
-$11K
Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$57914m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$311h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$342h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$32h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$312h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$12h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$5502h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$12h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$12h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$12h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$142h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$12h ago