US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 28¢ | 45¢ | +$2.3K |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6.7K | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$455 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $5.6K | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$498 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.9K | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$191 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$42 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.8K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$97 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$840 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 58¢ | 89¢ | +$1.1K |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$790 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$30 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $2.7K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$37 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$50 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $2.8K | 40¢ | 34¢ | -$457 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $2.9K | 72¢ | 57¢ | -$618 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$302 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $2.6K | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$942 |
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$160 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 38¢ | 33¢ | -$268 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$98 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$64 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$55 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$31 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 17¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2.0K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $1.6K | 48¢ | 42¢ | -$224 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$196 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$54 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$38 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$269 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$13 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 62¢ | 52¢ | -$203 |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $815 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$118 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 36¢ | 23¢ | -$513 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance | No | $2.4K | 34¢ | 13¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $879 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$26 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $706 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$63 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | No | $707 | 61¢ | 54¢ | -$78 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $476 | 48¢ | 59¢ | +$109 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $679 | 8.5¢ | 6.8¢ | -$139 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $475 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 11¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2.1K |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $448 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$11 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $446 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $615 | 31¢ | 22¢ | -$185 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $326 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$36 |
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $291 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $329 | 6.6¢ | 5.2¢ | -$69 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $480 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$220 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $278 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$48 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | Yes | $171 | 34¢ | 39¢ | +$24 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $182 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | Yes | $155 | 3.1¢ | 3.5¢ | +$18 |
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $116 | 58¢ | 82¢ | +$48 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $157 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Finance | No | $410 | 6.8¢ | 2.3¢ | -$272 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 21¢ | 28¢ | +$30 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$23 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $140 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$30 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Finance | No | $102 | 55¢ | 50¢ | -$10 |
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $82 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $339 | 5.6¢ | 1.5¢ | -$252 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $82 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $55 | 1.4¢ | 2.1¢ | +$27 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | Yes | $213 | 7.1¢ | 2.5¢ | -$136 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | Yes | $125 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$60 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$14 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $68 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$26 |
Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$9 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $25 | 49¢ | 75¢ | +$13 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Finance | No | $37 | 65¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 41¢ | 63¢ | +$11 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Finance | No | $33 | 52¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 35¢ | 24¢ | -$11 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 45¢ | +$20 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | Yes | $120 | 48¢ | 8.5¢ | -$99 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 7.3¢ | 8.8¢ | +$3 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 16¢ | +$4 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $27 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$15 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | Yes | $93 | 37¢ | 4.5¢ | -$81 |
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?Finance | Yes | $45 | 90¢ | 22¢ | -$34 |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$11 |
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 9.1¢ | 4.5¢ | -$9 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$14 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $3 | 67¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$6 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |