Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $818 | 32¢ | 84¢ | +$1.3K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $850 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $522 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$2 |
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | No | $451 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$19 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 67¢ | 16¢ | -$1.3K |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $327 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $254 | 96¢ | 83¢ | -$35 |
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $187 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$4 |
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $108 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $106 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $105 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | No | $99 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $99 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$7 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $91 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | Yes | $73 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $71 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $38 | 56¢ | 90¢ | +$23 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics | No | $59 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $54 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 74¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $34 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $31 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $81 | 44¢ | 16¢ | -$51 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Kash Patel out by September 30?Politics | No | $18 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $18 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?Culture | No | $19 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $15 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?Culture | No | $16 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $15 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $10 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | Yes | $11 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | 1.9¢ | -$12 |
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.2¢ | 3.8¢ | +$1 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $5 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $3 | 48¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
Will TownSquare launch a token by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $4 | 95¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 6.0¢ | 6.7¢ | +$0 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will no press briefing air by August 31?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |