 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $378 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $73 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $82 | 67¢ | 59¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $69 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $64 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $45 | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$7 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $38 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $31 | 67¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $28 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | No | $28 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $26 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $25 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $23 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | No | $21 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $21 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $19 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $19 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $16 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $21 | 52¢ | 39¢ | -$5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics | No | $11 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $10 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 21¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Macron out by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $3 | 48¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold No · JD Vance out as VP by July 31?$19h ago