Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $75 | 14¢ | 7.2¢ | -$36 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 7.7¢ | 3.6¢ | -$27 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $49 | 13¢ | 4.8¢ | -$31 |
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $53 | 13¢ | 3.7¢ | -$38 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | Yes | $46 | 14¢ | 3.3¢ | -$36 |
Obama federally charged before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 12¢ | 5.1¢ | -$15 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $32 | 27¢ | 7.5¢ | -$23 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 3.9¢ | -$8 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 3.6¢ | -$4 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $58 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?Crypto | DownResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Crypto | ETHResolved | $1 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $19 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?Crypto | DownResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $158 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Economy | NoResolved | $325 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$325 |
New pandemic in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by September 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $124 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Modi out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Finance | NoResolved | $26 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |