← Whale Watch

Onswaggie

Predicting since Mar 2026231 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$1750¢70¢+$7
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1353¢86¢+$8
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1262¢88¢+$5
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$848¢95¢+$8
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechYes$1328¢34¢+$2
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$631¢75¢+$8
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1084¢99¢+$2
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechYes$838¢56¢+$4
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNo$1364¢58¢-$1
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$1059¢69¢+$2
SHEIN IPO before 2027?TechYes$862¢89¢+$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$652¢92¢+$5
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?TechYes$848¢62¢+$2
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$879¢93¢+$1
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$844¢48¢+$1
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$886¢93¢+$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$839¢42¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$861¢65¢+$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$542¢69¢+$3
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$872¢71¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$567¢99¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$647¢59¢+$1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$674¢90¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$680¢95¢+$1
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$457¢97¢+$3
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsYes$621¢23¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$577¢99¢+$1
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$629¢31¢+$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$550¢63¢+$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$555¢68¢+$1
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$332¢64¢+$3
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$575¢85¢+$1
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsYes$560¢67¢+$1
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$586¢94¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$449¢67¢+$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$570¢76¢+$0
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?La LigaNo$587¢92¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$477¢94¢+$1
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$512¢12¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$873¢43¢-$3
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$461¢69¢+$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$514¢13¢-$1
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$437¢40¢+$0
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?TechYes$539¢31¢-$1
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$411¢11¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$432¢31¢-$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$377¢85¢+$0
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$425¢23¢-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$443¢37¢-$1
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$387¢88¢+$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$388¢84¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$431¢21¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$215¢17¢+$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$435¢20¢-$2
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$330¢18¢-$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$360¢33¢-$1
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$541¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$459¢0.0¢-$4
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3065¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1754¢0.0¢-$17
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026TechYesResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?PoliticsNoResolved$933¢0.0¢-$9
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?TechDownResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$835¢0.0¢-$8
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$33.9¢0.0¢-$3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?PoliticsYesResolved$344¢0.0¢-$3
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026TechYesResolved$616¢0.0¢-$6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$368¢0.0¢-$3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$623¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$165
Tech-$22
NBA+$22
NHL-$21
Economy-$17
Other sports+$13
Champions League-$13
Mentions-$12
Soccer (other)-$11
Tennis+$8
Formula 1+$8
Finance-$8
Biggest hit
+$25
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Toughest beat
-$34
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$11h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$81d ago
  • Sold No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$21d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$32d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$42d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?$42d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$22d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$62d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$83d ago