9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | Yes | $1000 | 11¢ | 7.9¢ | -$300 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $100 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | -$61 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics | Yes | $100 | 5.5¢ | 2.1¢ | -$61 |
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $100 | 94¢ | 35¢ | -$63 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $100 | 54¢ | 19¢ | -$66 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 12¢ | 3.6¢ | -$70 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?Finance | DownResolved | $100 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $100 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberPolitics | NoResolved | $100 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $200 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $200 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $100 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $100 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will EA say "Underperformance" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $103 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $18 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Another US bank failure by March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed rate cut by July meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
5kt meteor strike in 2025?Weather | YesResolved | $100 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $950 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$950 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? Finance | YesResolved | $100 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
North Korea missile launch by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Another US bank failure by February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Tech | YesResolved | $200 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | YesResolved | $100 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $100 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
GTA 6 launch postponed?Tech | NoResolved | $100 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $100 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Finance | YesResolved | $100 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |