 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.9¢ | 3.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "China Virus" in October?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 18?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by November 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Trump say "Asia" or "Asian" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Cashed out No · Xi Jinping out by June 30?$526d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$31mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$51mo ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$101mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$201mo ago