← Whale Watch

luminae

Predicting since Feb 2025569 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$74100¢99¢-$0
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3397¢98¢+$0
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$20100¢100¢-$0
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$2099¢99¢+$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$19100¢100¢+$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$19100¢100¢+$0
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$20100¢91¢-$2
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1575¢91¢+$3
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$527¢87¢+$12
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$17100¢100¢+$0
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$17100¢100¢+$0
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$17100¢100¢+$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$1694¢98¢+$1
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$1695¢91¢-$1
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$2096¢76¢-$4
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1282¢100¢+$3
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1893¢75¢-$4
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$990¢96¢+$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$992¢86¢-$1
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureNo$544¢57¢+$1
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$1281¢40¢-$6
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$597¢91¢-$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.7¢20¢+$3
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureYes$240¢43¢+$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$480¢47¢-$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.6¢8.6¢+$2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$215¢15¢-$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.4¢16¢+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.6¢5.1¢+$1
Will Am I Okay? (Megan Moroney) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?NBANoResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-04-18?Soccer (other)NoResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Virgin (Lorde) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?Champions LeagueNoResolved$786¢0.0¢-$7
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Azizam (Ed Sheeran) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Megan Moroney win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Portrait (Samara Joy) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will MK.gee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will The Right Person Will Stay (Lana Del Rey) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$1291¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?NHLYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?Soccer (other)NoResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Reds win?Other sportsNoResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will PinkPantheress win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?WeatherNoResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ravyn Lenae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$577¢0.0¢-$5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$1992¢0.0¢-$19
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-22?Soccer (other)NoResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)NoResolved$266¢0.0¢-$2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?MLSNoResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18?Soccer (other)NoResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?EconomyNoResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?WeatherNoResolved$182¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?PoliticsNoResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?NHLYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Crusaders win?Other sportsNoResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will MJ Lenderman win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Zach Top win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will So Close to What (Tate McRae) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will I Quit (Haim) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NBA+$47
Politics-$36
Culture+$29
NHL+$20
NFL+$17
Tech+$14
Crypto-$13
Economy-$5
Finance+$4
eSports-$2
World Cup-$2
Other sports+$2
Biggest hit
+$48
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Toughest beat
-$32
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$25d ago
  • Bought No · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$745d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$205d ago