← Whale Watch

morenitos

Predicting since Apr 2026901 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$2136¢21¢-$9
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1041¢44¢+$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$116¢82¢+$4
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1031¢13¢-$6
Remote IPO before 2027?TechYes$1044¢18¢-$6
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$358¢68¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1039¢13¢-$7
WHOOP IPO before 2027?TechYes$1377¢18¢-$10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$362¢59¢-$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1152¢13¢-$8
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$438¢25¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1022¢5.5¢-$8
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$436¢21¢-$2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$239¢43¢+$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$17.9¢16¢+$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1069¢13¢-$8
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11.3¢2.4¢+$1
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$126¢45¢+$1
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$362¢35¢-$1
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$337¢21¢-$1
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$110.0¢15¢+$1
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$129¢43¢+$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$1124¢3.0¢-$10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$1020¢2.8¢-$9
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechYes$115¢20¢+$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$12.4¢3.2¢+$0
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$13.1¢3.8¢+$0
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$342¢17¢-$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$112¢14¢+$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11.4¢1.6¢+$0
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$184¢88¢+$0
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?TechYes$114¢14¢+$0
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$351¢18¢-$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$15.1¢5.1¢+$0
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$10.2¢0.2¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17.4¢0.0¢-$1
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5NBAOverResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$16.3¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2517¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 12?CryptoNoResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 11?WeatherNoResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Magic (-5.5)NBAMagicResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$337¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?La LigaNoResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 15?CryptoYesResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$101.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?WeatherYesResolved$141¢0.0¢-$1
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5NBAUnderResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?Soccer (other)YesResolved$644¢0.0¢-$6
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?Soccer (other)YesResolved$141¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 12?WeatherNoResolved$268¢0.0¢-$2
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5MLBUnderResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 11?WeatherYesResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 15?CryptoYesResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?FinanceYesResolved$458¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 12?WeatherNoResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$962¢0.0¢-$9
Blue Jackets vs. CanadiensNHLCanadiensResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?MLSYesResolved$267¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15?CryptoNoResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreMLSYesResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?Premier LeagueYesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?La LigaNoResolved$362¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Heat (-9.5)NBAHawksResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Magic (-9.5)NBAMagicResolved$261¢0.0¢-$2
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5NBAOverResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)UFC / MMAKelvin GastelumResolved$270¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?Soccer (other)NoResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$119.2¢0.0¢-$11
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?MLSYesResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Yangon Galacticos (+1.5)eSportsYangon GalacticosResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 12?WeatherNoResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)NBAPistonsResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$442¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 12?WeatherNoResolved$177¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spezia Calcio win on 2026-04-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1058¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$341¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$16.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1544¢0.0¢-$15
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5BundesligaUnderResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?WeatherNoResolved$266¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$388
Politics-$370
Crypto-$290
Weather-$55
Premier League-$40
Champions League-$34
Finance-$31
NHL-$29
Soccer (other)+$26
Tech-$21
MLS-$21
NBA-$21
Biggest hit
+$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Toughest beat
-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$262d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$52d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$272d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$262d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$262d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1732d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$262d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$172d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$262d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$02d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1752d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$272d ago