 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 29¢ | 43¢ | +$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 72¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $5 | 46¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 32¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 42¢ | 15¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 24¢ | 8.1¢ | -$5 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 78¢ | 15¢ | -$4 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |