← Whale Watch

charliealmanack

Predicting since Nov 2025193 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $117K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $121K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$39K on US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$116K83¢95¢+$16K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$17K24¢20¢-$3.1K
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$6.9K99¢100¢+$31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$4.8K96¢97¢+$43
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.0K95¢99¢+$118
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5.0K10.0¢3.6¢-$3.2K
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K92¢96¢+$71
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K91¢96¢+$73
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?TechNo$45045¢88¢+$425
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.6K16¢7.0¢-$905
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$49892¢94¢+$8
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$58258¢26¢-$321
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?TechNo$8356¢91¢+$51
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$11569¢80¢+$18
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$13026¢20¢-$30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$18.3¢85¢+$9
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1133¢11¢-$8
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$164¢90¢+$0
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$11K55¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$8.8K73¢0.0¢-$8.8K
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$4.1K34¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$74515¢0.0¢-$745
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$6.0K60¢0.0¢-$6.0K
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?World CupYesResolved$3.1K31¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$17K85¢0.0¢-$17K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.4K53¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$2.5K25¢0.0¢-$2.5K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$117K
Champions League+$53K
La Liga+$18K
Boxing+$16K
Soccer (other)-$15K
Premier League-$12K
World Cup-$7.9K
Weather-$7.7K
Other sports-$3.5K
Tech-$1.5K
NBA-$921
Golf+$673
Biggest hit
+$39K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$17K
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15K6d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?$1708d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?$3310d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$1.0K10d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$26410d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$4.8K11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?$10711d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.9K11d ago