Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 73¢ | 84¢ | +$158 |
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $458 | 2.9¢ | 0.2¢ | -$426 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 48¢ | +$24 |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $67 | 3.6¢ | 1.4¢ | -$42 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 78¢ | +$18 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 17¢ | +$7 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 33¢ | +$7 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 72¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 1.4¢ | 1.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $4 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $1 | 5.9¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $1 | 5.9¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3 | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $67 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$64 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$14 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.3¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$26 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$26 |
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 14¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 33¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Weather | Yes | $96 | 17¢ | 0.3¢ | -$94 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$100 |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$100 |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$100 |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$100 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 5.7¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $71 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$70 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $1 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $71 | 17¢ | 0.3¢ | -$69 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 48¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | NoResolved | $1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLB | No | $1 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 4.0¢ | -$2 |