← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jul 202510,964 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.0M on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $7.1K riding on What day will the Lighter airdrop be?.

Biggest hit: +$48K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?NFLYes$183.1¢85¢+$485
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$183.3¢24¢+$110
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$23.9¢63¢+$32
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?NFLYes$203.3¢4.6¢+$8
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?NFLYes$203.3¢3.6¢+$2
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$312¢79¢+$18
Will Maxx Crosby play for Kansas City Chiefs next?NFLYes$342.8¢1.2¢-$19
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$10100¢100¢-$0
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$10100¢100¢+$0
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$997¢99¢+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$26.7¢38¢+$8
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$10100¢99¢-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$880¢92¢+$1
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$22.8¢17¢+$7
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$899¢99¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Baltimore Ravens next?NFLYes$213.4¢1.3¢-$13
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$893¢90¢-$0
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$8100¢100¢+$0
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$7100¢100¢+$0
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$7100¢100¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?NFLYes$203.3¢1.1¢-$13
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$694¢100¢+$0
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$572¢92¢+$1
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$698¢99¢+$0
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢+$0
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢+$0
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢+$0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢+$0
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢-$0
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5100¢99¢-$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?NFLYes$342.8¢0.4¢-$28
Will Maxx Crosby play for Pittsburgh Steelers next?NFLYes$342.8¢0.4¢-$28
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$594¢90¢-$0
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$902.8¢0.1¢-$85
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$512.7¢0.3¢-$46
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$512.7¢0.3¢-$46
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?PoliticsNo$584¢76¢-$1
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$498¢98¢+$0
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4100¢100¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next?NFLYes$342.8¢0.4¢-$30
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$499¢97¢-$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?NFLYes$172.8¢0.7¢-$13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$81.4¢0.7¢-$4
Will Maxx Crosby play for Seattle Seahawks next?NFLYes$203.3¢0.7¢-$16
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$499¢100¢+$0
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$4100¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢+$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.8¢12¢+$3
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢+$0
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢+$0
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$717.7¢0.4¢-$68
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢+$0
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢-$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$87.7¢2.9¢-$5
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢-$0
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLYes$15.9¢12¢+$1
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$391¢91¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?NFLYes$322.8¢0.3¢-$29
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$512.7¢0.1¢-$48
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$512.7¢0.1¢-$48
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$281.8¢0.1¢-$26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$03.4¢91¢+$2
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechYes$03.2¢80¢+$2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?NFLYes$203.3¢0.4¢-$17
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$373¢64¢-$0
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$311¢8.5¢-$1
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$299¢100¢+$0
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?NFLYes$203.3¢0.4¢-$18
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$294¢100¢+$0
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$299¢100¢+$0
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$311¢7.5¢-$1
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2100¢100¢-$0
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLYes$27.3¢8.0¢+$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$016¢81¢+$2
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢-$0
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$7117¢0.4¢-$69
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2100¢100¢-$0
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2100¢100¢-$0
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$299¢100¢+$0
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next?NFLYes$342.8¢0.1¢-$32
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?NFLYes$342.8¢0.1¢-$32
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next?NFLYes$342.8¢0.1¢-$32
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.8¢44¢+$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$333¢22¢-$1
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$296¢97¢+$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$248¢44¢-$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$298¢98¢-$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next?NFLYes$312.8¢0.1¢-$29
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$299¢100¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.0M
Economy-$225K
Culture-$99K
Tech-$41K
Other-$41K
Crypto-$23K
Boxing-$20K
NFL-$12K
Weather-$7.0K
Soccer (other)-$4.0K
Premier League-$3.9K
La Liga-$3.7K
Biggest hit
+$48K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$140K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$114d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$114d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$114d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$214d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?$3022d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$325d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$125d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?$125d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?$125d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?$225d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$225d ago
  • Cashed out No · Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?$425d ago