 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $7 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 76¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 68¢ | +$5 |
 Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 47¢ | +$4 |
 Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs HOLANDA 78 (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 PlayoffseSports | HOLANDA 78 | $4 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs HOLANDA 78 - Map 1 WinnereSports | HOLANDA 78 | $2 | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 48¢ | +$3 |
 W35 Shenyang: Han Shi vs Chenting ZhuTennis | Han Shi | $4 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 49¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 4.5Soccer (other) | Under | $8 | 77¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 40¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 58¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 53¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 44¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Benedict Wong as Wong?Culture | Yes | $4 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsMLB | Los Angeles Angels | $2 | 47¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC DinosBaseball (other) | NC Dinos | $3 | 59¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice TjenTennis | Sloane Stephens | $3 | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $3 | 51¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | $4 | 71¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 57¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
 England Lions and Sri Lanka T20s: England Lions vs Sri LankaCricket | England Lions | $5 | 92¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 49¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Politics | No | $2 | 38¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
 Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-04?Champions League | YesResolved | $3 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-07-22?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $15 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-22?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-07-18?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?MLS | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Leeds United win on 2026-08-08?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-07-19?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $3 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?World Cup | NoResolved | $10 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-22?MLS | YesResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Londrina EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?Champions League | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?World Cup | NoResolved | $9 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-01?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?MLS | NoResolved | $4 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-23?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $4 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Bay FC vs. Kansas City Current end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-06?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $4 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-17?MLS | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-21?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?World Cup | NoResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?MLS | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 30?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-05?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Baltimore Orioles · Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)$035m ago