Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | Yes | $30 | 4.5¢ | 3.1¢ | -$9 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 2.3¢ | -$8 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan resign by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel strikes Syria by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US strikes Yemen by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Iran strike UAE in March?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Netanyahu out by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?NBA | NoResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Yoon out of custody by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trump out as President by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Was Kanye hacked?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
2025 August hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump out as President by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Nancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US strikes Yemen by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |