Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 59¢ | 67¢ | +$12 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 69¢ | 82¢ | +$11 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 74¢ | 68¢ | -$7 |
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $53 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $54 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $55 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $53 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $52 | 62¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | No | $47 | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 65¢ | 57¢ | -$6 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 39¢ | 66¢ | +$19 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 44¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 42¢ | 35¢ | -$9 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 74¢ | 50¢ | -$18 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $55 | 52¢ | 33¢ | -$20 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $34 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 42¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $31 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$8 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $18 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 39¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $14 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Politics | Yes | $13 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$8 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | No | $27 | 43¢ | 16¢ | -$17 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $13 | 48¢ | 28¢ | -$6 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 42¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics | No | $12 | 23¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 57¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 12¢ | 8.2¢ | -$1 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | No | $24 | 6.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$22 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |