 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $130 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$60 |
 Will episode not air?Mentions | No | $107 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | Yes | $67 | 55¢ | 70¢ | +$19 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?Politics | Yes | $66 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
| Will anyone say "Bank" 5+ times during President Curtis E8 S1?Mentions | No | $50 | 62¢ | 92¢ | +$24 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 22¢ | 100¢ | +$51 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 54¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump say "Police" or "Firefighter" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?Mentions | No | $53 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | Yes | $48 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $43 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
| Will no episode air?Mentions | No | $40 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $40 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?Mentions | Yes | $37 | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon?Mentions | Yes | $39 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E8 S1?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 37¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 63¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
| Will Trump say "American Flag" during remarks at the Pentagon?Mentions | Yes | $35 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during President Curtis E8 S1?Mentions | Yes | $33 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
| Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?eSports | Yes | $24 | 7.7¢ | 11¢ | +$9 |
 Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Politics | No | $29 | 50¢ | 55¢ | +$3 |
| Will anyone say "Security" during President Curtis E8 S1?Mentions | Yes | $32 | 50¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
 Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$13 |
 Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $29 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | Yes | $22 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $32 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$9 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 71¢ | 50¢ | -$8 |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfing" or "Golfer" this week?Mentions | No | $5 | 9.0¢ | 27¢ | +$11 |
| Will anyone say "President" 10+ times during President Curtis E8 S1?Mentions | No | $15 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$8 |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $3 | 3.0¢ | 14¢ | +$10 |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks at the Pentagon?Mentions | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $1 | 3.5¢ | 14¢ | +$4 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 3.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 2.5¢ | -$14 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 2.1¢ | -$18 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | Yes | $18 | 9.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$16 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | NoResolved | $26 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | NoResolved | $8 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | NoResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on May 7?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 7?Weather | YesResolved | $22 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Trump post "DOJ" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $134 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Mentions | NoResolved | $27 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?Mentions | NoResolved | $24 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $34 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the World Cup Final national anthem last at least 150 seconds?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $84 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
 Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $62 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Other | YesResolved | $17 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $7 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | YesResolved | $23 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Spread: France (-1.5)World Cup | SenegalResolved | $12 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the announcers say "Long ball" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $31 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Patriots vs Seahawks game?NFL | YesResolved | $18 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Sold Yes · Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?$298h ago