← Whale Watch

HE110W0R1D

Predicting since Dec 20255,668 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$17688¢89¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$16884¢86¢+$3
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$16196¢96¢+$1
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$15879¢75¢-$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$13065¢69¢+$8
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$7070¢69¢-$1
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$7195¢90¢-$4
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$6565¢60¢-$6
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?FinanceNo$6464¢59¢-$6
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$6363¢55¢-$9
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$5226¢27¢+$1
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5098¢98¢+$0
Trump on $250 bill this year?PoliticsNo$5098¢97¢-$0
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$4997¢97¢+$0
Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$4999¢99¢+$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$5099¢97¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$4793¢96¢+$1
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?TechNo$4998¢97¢-$1
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$5099¢97¢-$1
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$4997¢95¢-$1
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$4897¢97¢-$0
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$5097¢94¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$4691¢94¢+$1
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?PoliticsNo$4996¢93¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$4589¢93¢+$2
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4995¢93¢-$1
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?WeatherNo$4590¢95¢+$2
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$4998¢94¢-$2
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?PoliticsNo$4895¢92¢-$1
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsNo$4690¢92¢+$1
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4792¢92¢-$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$4792¢91¢-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?PoliticsNo$4794¢92¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?PoliticsNo$4791¢89¢-$1
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?TechNo$4895¢88¢-$4
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$4489¢90¢+$0
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$4497¢97¢+$0
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$4690¢85¢-$3
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$4793¢85¢-$4
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$4792¢85¢-$4
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?WeatherNo$4493¢91¢-$1
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$4396¢95¢-$1
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?PoliticsYes$4589¢84¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4589¢84¢-$3
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$4692¢83¢-$4
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4293¢89¢-$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4190¢88¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4284¢79¢-$3
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$4181¢79¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?PoliticsNo$4284¢77¢-$4
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$3978¢77¢-$1
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsNo$3978¢77¢-$1
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3775¢74¢-$0
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?TechNo$4181¢74¢-$4
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?EconomyYes$4284¢74¢-$5
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechNo$3876¢73¢-$2
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3636¢36¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4824¢18¢-$13
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsYes$3875¢71¢-$2
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3498¢99¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsNo$3978¢69¢-$5
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3570¢69¢-$1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?EconomyYes$3468¢68¢-$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3493¢92¢-$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$3467¢66¢-$1
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBYes$3774¢66¢-$4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3495¢92¢-$1
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBNo$3393¢92¢-$0
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$3570¢64¢-$3
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$3468¢62¢-$3
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3569¢62¢-$4
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsNo$4284¢62¢-$11
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?EconomyNo$3979¢61¢-$9
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?WeatherNo$4386¢60¢-$13
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?OtherYes$3190¢88¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?WeatherNo$2768¢73¢+$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?TechNo$2482¢97¢+$4
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?WeatherNo$2685¢89¢+$1
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?PoliticsNo$2688¢88¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$2980¢72¢-$3
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$2688¢86¢-$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?PoliticsNo$2685¢86¢+$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?TechNo$3467¢50¢-$9
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2692¢89¢-$1
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026CryptoNo$2582¢81¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2481¢81¢-$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$2658¢54¢-$2
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2686¢79¢-$2
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2550¢47¢-$2
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$2497¢96¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2584¢77¢-$2
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$2584¢76¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 26?WeatherNo$2050¢56¢+$2
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?EconomyNo$21100¢98¢-$0
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$2198¢91¢-$1
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?WeatherNo$1984¢88¢+$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1994¢92¢-$0
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1860¢56¢-$1
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$1679¢82¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1470¢79¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$286
Weather-$107
Culture-$99
Tech-$57
Economy-$47
Finance-$41
Mentions-$37
Crypto-$29
Soccer (other)+$24
MLB-$21
Other sports+$18
NFL-$16
Biggest hit
+$43
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Toughest beat
-$58
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?$2219m ago
  • Sold No · Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?$021m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 26?$1935m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?$1543m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 26?$244m ago
  • Sold No · Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?$544m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?$444m ago
  • Sold No · Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$1444m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?$844m ago
  • Sold No · Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?$444m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?$244m ago
  • Sold No · Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$1044m ago