Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $176 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $168 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $161 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $158 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$8 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $130 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$8 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $70 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other | No | $71 | 95¢ | 90¢ | -$4 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $65 | 65¢ | 60¢ | -$6 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Finance | No | $64 | 64¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $63 | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$9 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $52 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Trump on $250 bill this year?Politics | No | $50 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $49 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $50 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | Yes | $47 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?Tech | No | $49 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $50 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $49 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | No | $48 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $50 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $46 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 96¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $45 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $49 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | No | $45 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $49 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | No | $46 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $47 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | No | $47 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Politics | No | $47 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $48 | 95¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $44 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $44 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $46 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$3 |
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 85¢ | -$4 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $47 | 92¢ | 85¢ | -$4 |
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?Weather | No | $44 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $43 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?Weather | No | $45 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$3 |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | Yes | $46 | 92¢ | 83¢ | -$4 |
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $42 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$2 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $41 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?Weather | No | $42 | 84¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$4 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $37 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $41 | 81¢ | 74¢ | -$4 |
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Economy | Yes | $42 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$5 |
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $38 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 36¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $48 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$13 |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | Yes | $38 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $34 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $34 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $37 | 74¢ | 66¢ | -$4 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLB | No | $33 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | Yes | $35 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 62¢ | -$3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 62¢ | -$11 |
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | No | $39 | 79¢ | 61¢ | -$9 |
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $43 | 86¢ | 60¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?Other | Yes | $31 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?Weather | No | $27 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | No | $26 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $29 | 80¢ | 72¢ | -$3 |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Politics | No | $26 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $34 | 67¢ | 50¢ | -$9 |
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $26 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto | No | $25 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $24 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $26 | 58¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $25 | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $24 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?Weather | No | $25 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 26?Weather | No | $20 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?Economy | No | $21 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | No | $21 | 98¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | No | $19 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?Weather | No | $14 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |