← Whale Watch

LBZero

Predicting since Mar 20245,377 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $8.4K on Politics markets since Mar 2024.

Right now: $6.9K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$3.0K on Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$6.9K85¢96¢+$946
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$78695¢88¢-$64
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$65096¢95¢-$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$55292¢92¢-$3
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$50589¢93¢+$18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$55792¢73¢-$114
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$37895¢100¢+$21
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$31197¢93¢-$13
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$40282¢50¢-$156
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$22991¢97¢+$14
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$28872¢57¢-$57
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$17881¢96¢+$34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$22096¢92¢-$9
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$19999¢100¢+$1
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$18090¢100¢+$20
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$19999¢99¢+$1
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$31680¢51¢-$117
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$24568¢56¢-$46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$18382¢87¢+$13
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$18895¢99¢+$8
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$16181¢93¢+$23
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$18394¢92¢-$6
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$17190¢92¢+$5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$16997¢99¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$17395¢95¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$24583¢57¢-$78
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$14591¢94¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$16365¢56¢-$20
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$15346¢43¢-$12
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$14199¢99¢+$0
EU dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$13895¢98¢+$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$11055¢60¢+$9
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12879¢73¢-$10
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$10186¢98¢+$15
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$11699¢98¢-$1
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsNo$12394¢87¢-$9
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$13266¢56¢-$19
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$10897¢98¢+$1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$12297¢84¢-$16
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9996¢100¢+$4
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$10099¢100¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9992¢94¢+$2
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$7978¢99¢+$21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$13277¢59¢-$32
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7862¢78¢+$20
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?CryptoNo$8989¢96¢+$7
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9796¢95¢-$1
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more?PoliticsNo$9898¢95¢-$3
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$9493¢94¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$9291¢94¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$9292¢94¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9695¢93¢-$2
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$7783¢100¢+$16
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$8484¢93¢+$9
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8478¢86¢+$8
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$9193¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8992¢94¢+$2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$8897¢99¢+$2
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$8999¢99¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8792¢94¢+$1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$8595¢98¢+$3
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$9982¢71¢-$13
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$8696¢95¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9494¢85¢-$9
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8393¢95¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8291¢94¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7891¢96¢+$4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$8093¢95¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$8335¢34¢-$3
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6060¢78¢+$18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$11630¢20¢-$38
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$10889¢64¢-$30
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$7492¢94¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7393¢94¢+$0
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$7096¢100¢+$3
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?PoliticsNo$7272¢72¢-$1
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$5682¢99¢+$12
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6793¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6847¢43¢-$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10634¢20¢-$45
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6296¢94¢-$2
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$5797¢100¢+$1
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$5896¢97¢+$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$5798¢99¢+$1
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?PoliticsNo$6197¢88¢-$5
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5493¢96¢+$2
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$4989¢99¢+$6
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$5394¢96¢+$1
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$5298¢100¢+$1
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$8682¢50¢-$34
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$2652¢100¢+$24
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?PoliticsNo$3365¢100¢+$17
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$3365¢99¢+$17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$6060¢50¢-$11
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6362¢49¢-$14
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4040¢49¢+$9
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$5050¢48¢-$2
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?PoliticsNo$4385¢94¢+$5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$4387¢94¢+$4
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1623¢66¢+$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$8.4K
Culture-$763
Crypto-$743
Economy+$642
Tech-$353
Mentions-$304
Weather-$232
Finance-$136
NBA+$32
Tennis-$19
NHL-$18
NFL-$17
Biggest hit
+$3.0K
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Toughest beat
-$3.0K
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$341d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$011d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jason Clark win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$011d ago