 Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?Tech | No | $1 | 0.9¢ | 48¢ | +$33 |
 Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSports | No | $19 | 55¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
| Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Other | No | $6 | 15¢ | 52¢ | +$15 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?Finance | No | $9 | 38¢ | 82¢ | +$11 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $11 | 47¢ | 69¢ | +$5 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 24¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?Tech | No | $1 | 3.0¢ | 49¢ | +$15 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 44¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
| Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 22¢ | 67¢ | +$10 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $12 | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 19¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $7 | 39¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Politics | Yes | $12 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | No | $5 | 24¢ | 57¢ | +$7 |
 Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $6 | 19¢ | 42¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 64¢ | +$7 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $10 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 26?Crypto | No | $7 | 45¢ | 73¢ | +$5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $15 | 47¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
 Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $7 | 43¢ | 73¢ | +$5 |
 Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$4 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 57¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $10 | 54¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | No | $15 | 42¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $10 | 44¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $5 | 31¢ | 69¢ | +$6 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 24¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $8 | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 35¢ | 71¢ | +$5 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 30¢ | 69¢ | +$5 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 81¢ | +$8 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | Yes | $3 | 21¢ | 63¢ | +$6 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 34¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 30¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $8 | 35¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 37¢ | +$4 |
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 49¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 62¢ | +$7 |
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $9 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $60B?Finance | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 45¢ | +$4 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $10 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $9 | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $8 | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $7 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 56¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $5 | 29¢ | 49¢ | +$3 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $5 | 16¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
 Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic + OpenAI | $5 | 36¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | No | $10 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | No | $7 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
 California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPolitics | Yes | $4 | 28¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $5 | 35¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 33¢ | 66¢ | +$4 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 45¢ | +$4 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 33¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 37¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 45¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $5 | 31¢ | 49¢ | +$3 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 12¢ | 49¢ | +$5 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 43¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 31¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 46¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 45¢ | +$5 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | No | $5 | 32¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 34¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | No | $7 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $5 | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 42¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in July?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 34¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $4 | 40¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 42¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $8 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 30¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? eSports | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $8 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 38¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $5 | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $13 | 41¢ | 19¢ | -$7 |
Bought Yes · Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 26?$126m ago
Sold Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 26?$01h ago