 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | No | $117 | 86¢ | 76¢ | -$14 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $89 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $36 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $37 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $37 | 74¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 68¢ | -$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $26 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 65¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $22 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 35¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 58¢ | -$3 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $9 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 56¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 8.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | No | $2 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
Sold No · Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$4820h ago
Cashed out No · Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?$03d ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?$03d ago