 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $225 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$42 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $246 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $207 | 69¢ | 78¢ | +$26 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $135 | 45¢ | 62¢ | +$51 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $129 | 43¢ | 62¢ | +$56 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $96 | 32¢ | 60¢ | +$83 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $153 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$32 |
 Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture | No | $138 | 46¢ | 41¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $210 | 70¢ | 41¢ | -$89 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Economy | No | $104 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Politics | No | $83 | 69¢ | 95¢ | +$32 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | No | $115 | 67¢ | 65¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $48 | 40¢ | 91¢ | +$61 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $71 | 59¢ | 89¢ | +$36 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $89 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$16 |
 Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $133 | 50¢ | 37¢ | -$36 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $103 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$16 |
 Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?Other sports | No | $82 | 75¢ | 70¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bijan Robinson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $53 | 44¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
 Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $65 | 54¢ | 48¢ | -$8 |
 Will Josh Allen have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $89 | 74¢ | 46¢ | -$34 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$26 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $39 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$9 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $63 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $65 | 54¢ | 37¢ | -$20 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 43¢ | 60¢ | +$7 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $26 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$32 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | No | $46 | 23¢ | 9.5¢ | -$27 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $64 | 53¢ | 14¢ | -$46 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 4.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 32¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | No | $11 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $34 | 12¢ | 2.9¢ | -$26 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 11¢ | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 18¢ | 3.9¢ | -$17 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 1.4¢ | -$38 |
 Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?Economy | Yes | $23 | 19¢ | 3.4¢ | -$19 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $1 | 49¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLB | Yes | $2 | 47¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 42¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?Mentions | NoResolved | $31 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $126 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $14 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?Weather | NoResolved | $66 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?Economy | YesResolved | $37 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Dusan Vlahovic join Tottenham?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of August 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $11 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $105 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Culture | NoResolved | $180 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?Weather | NoResolved | $82 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 4?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?Weather | NoResolved | $79 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $29 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $89 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
 Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $174 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $122 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?Weather | NoResolved | $61 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in August?Finance | NoResolved | $18 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?Weather | NoResolved | $70 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | NoResolved | $66 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $128 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $255 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$255 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 1?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 26?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Tech | NoResolved | $41 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?Mentions | NoResolved | $13 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | NoResolved | $42 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?$3009d ago
Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?$1209d ago
Cashed out No · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$110d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$410d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?$5413d ago