← Whale Watch

kaiakaiaw

Predicting since Nov 2025320 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1709.0¢5.5¢-$66
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$20038¢4.3¢-$178
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$2510¢1.1¢-$22
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$2034¢1.7¢-$19
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$5051¢0.0¢-$50
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)eSportsTop EsportsResolved$6059¢0.0¢-$60
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$18042¢0.0¢-$180
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$7378¢0.0¢-$73
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$8055¢0.0¢-$80
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?World CupNoResolved$12868¢0.0¢-$128
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2213¢0.0¢-$22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?World CupNoResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Lakers vs. ThunderNBALakersResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$107.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$21715¢0.0¢-$217
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$7051¢0.0¢-$70
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsGen.GResolved$1525¢0.0¢-$15
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$17363¢0.0¢-$173
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnereSportsKT RolsterResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$15054¢0.0¢-$150
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)World CupBosnia and HerzegovinaResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5043¢0.0¢-$50
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3023¢0.0¢-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSenegalResolved$4841¢0.0¢-$48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$4066¢0.0¢-$40
Thunder vs. SpursNBAThunderResolved$6241¢0.0¢-$62
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$6075¢0.0¢-$60
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)eSportsDN SOOPersResolved$2536¢0.0¢-$25
Wu vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5TennisUnderResolved$4076¢0.0¢-$40
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1008.7¢0.0¢-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsEDward GamingResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffseSportsKT RolsterResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevTennisTaylor FritzResolved$11253¢0.0¢-$112
Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)World CupBosnia-HerzegovinaResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?Premier LeagueYesResolved$3548¢0.0¢-$35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$32.4¢0.0¢-$3
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)eSportsBNK FEARXResolved$813¢0.0¢-$8
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$2534¢0.0¢-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaTennisAryna SabalenkaResolved$3067¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSportsG2 EsportsResolved$16478¢0.0¢-$164
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?World CupNoResolved$2043¢0.0¢-$20
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)TennisDjokovicResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)eSportsGen.GResolved$3554¢0.0¢-$35
Spread: United States (-1.5)World CupBosnia and HerzegovinaResolved$4248¢0.0¢-$42
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$5053¢0.0¢-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?Premier LeagueYesResolved$3264¢0.0¢-$32
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsKT RolsterResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)World CupIR IranResolved$3227¢0.0¢-$32
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNBANuggetsResolved$3073¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIeSportsGen.GResolved$8458¢0.0¢-$84
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?World CupNoResolved$2033¢0.0¢-$20
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$105.5¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)World CupUzbekistanResolved$5557¢0.0¢-$55
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Zdenek KolarTennisZdenek KolarResolved$7563¢0.0¢-$75
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$3555¢0.0¢-$35
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?PoliticsYesResolved$6516¢0.0¢-$65
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$3047¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIeSportsKT RolsterResolved$104.2¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Spain (-2.5)World CupAustriaResolved$3573¢0.0¢-$35
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsDN SOOPersResolved$2030¢0.0¢-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBrazilResolved$13071¢0.0¢-$130
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Champions LeagueParis Saint-Germain FCResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben SheltonTennisBen SheltonResolved$19064¢0.0¢-$190
Games Total: O/U 2.5eSportsOverResolved$1545¢0.0¢-$15
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$3541¢0.0¢-$35
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupMoroccoResolved$10066¢0.0¢-$100
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)eSportsKT RolsterResolved$3061¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsKT RolsterResolved$4075¢0.0¢-$40
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$5530¢0.0¢-$55
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$32.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10356¢0.0¢-$103
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$4040¢0.0¢-$40
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$1782¢0.0¢-$17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$5849¢0.0¢-$58
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$609.8¢0.0¢-$60
Knicks vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsHANJIN BRIONResolved$1520¢0.0¢-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra EalaTennisAlexandra EalaResolved$3560¢0.0¢-$35
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)eSportsKT RolsterResolved$1216¢0.0¢-$12
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsNongshim Red ForceResolved$3072¢0.0¢-$30
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsDplus KIAResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$14757¢0.0¢-$147
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$107.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$10047¢0.0¢-$100
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)eSportsTeam LiquidResolved$4071¢0.0¢-$40
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)eSportsTop EsportsResolved$1456¢0.0¢-$14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$4549¢0.0¢-$45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1204.6¢0.0¢-$120
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)eSportsKT RolsterResolved$2048¢0.0¢-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$5541¢0.0¢-$55
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$11050¢0.0¢-$110
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?World CupNoResolved$3240¢0.0¢-$32
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsDplus KIAResolved$1035¢0.0¢-$10
Will England win on 2026-06-27?World CupNoResolved$2016¢0.0¢-$20
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$7574¢0.0¢-$75
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)eSportsDplus KIAResolved$2563¢0.0¢-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$854
Tennis-$400
NBA-$384
Formula 1-$312
Politics-$227
Soccer (other)+$109
Premier League+$73
Champions League-$70
Mentions-$36
eSports+$1
Biggest hit
+$255
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Toughest beat
-$182
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$212h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$102h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$52h ago
  • Bought Anyones Legend · LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$162h ago
  • Sold Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$522h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$212h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$202h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$362h ago
  • Cashed out Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner$262h ago
  • Bought Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner$207h ago
  • Bought Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$377h ago
  • Cashed out Top Esports · LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5419h ago