← Whale Watch

denso

Predicting since Jun 2026716 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.1K on Weather markets since Jun 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$03.1¢96¢+$14
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?EconomyYes$613¢24¢+$5
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$550¢100¢+$5
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$02.8¢100¢+$10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$550¢99¢+$5
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$550¢98¢+$5
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June?EconomyYes$2350¢21¢-$13
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$550¢94¢+$4
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$550¢92¢+$4
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.6M and 7.7M in June?EconomyYes$613¢19¢+$3
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$550¢83¢+$3
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$550¢82¢+$3
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in June?EconomyYes$613¢18¢+$2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$327¢77¢+$5
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$550¢75¢+$2
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June?EconomyYes$613¢16¢+$1
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$111¢64¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$220¢54¢+$3
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$327¢53¢+$3
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$350¢100¢+$2
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?CultureYes$113¢100¢+$4
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$350¢100¢+$2
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$350¢100¢+$2
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$350¢100¢+$2
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$350¢100¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$350¢99¢+$2
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$350¢99¢+$2
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$350¢99¢+$2
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?TechYes$350¢99¢+$2
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$350¢99¢+$2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$350¢98¢+$2
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$350¢98¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$03.8¢98¢+$5
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$350¢98¢+$2
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$350¢97¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechYes$350¢97¢+$2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$350¢97¢+$2
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$350¢97¢+$2
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$350¢96¢+$2
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$350¢96¢+$2
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?TechYes$350¢95¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢95¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$350¢95¢+$2
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?MLBYes$217¢48¢+$3
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$350¢95¢+$2
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$120¢95¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢94¢+$2
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherYes$350¢94¢+$2
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?PoliticsYes$350¢94¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢94¢+$2
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsYes$350¢93¢+$2
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$350¢93¢+$2
Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$350¢93¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢93¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢92¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢92¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢92¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢92¢+$2
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?CultureYes$114¢91¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢91¢+$2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$350¢91¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢90¢+$2
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?CultureYes$350¢90¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$350¢90¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢89¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢89¢+$2
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$326¢44¢+$2
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$350¢87¢+$2
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢87¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢87¢+$2
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$350¢87¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$350¢87¢+$2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$550¢43¢-$1
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$350¢86¢+$2
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$350¢86¢+$2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$350¢85¢+$2
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$350¢84¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$550¢42¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$350¢83¢+$2
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$350¢83¢+$2
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?TechYes$120¢83¢+$3
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$550¢41¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$350¢82¢+$2
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$452¢56¢+$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$350¢81¢+$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$350¢80¢+$2
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$05.5¢80¢+$4
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$120¢80¢+$3
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$350¢80¢+$1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$350¢79¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$350¢79¢+$1
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$350¢79¢+$1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$350¢78¢+$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$350¢77¢+$1
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?MLBYes$350¢77¢+$1
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLBYes$350¢76¢+$1
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?EconomyYes$114¢75¢+$3
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$02.0¢73¢+$4
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?EconomyYes$114¢72¢+$3
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$117¢72¢+$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather+$1.1K
Politics+$136
Tech+$31
MLB+$17
NBA+$14
eSports+$6
Culture+$6
Other sports+$5
Formula 1+$4
NFL-$4
Soccer (other)+$4
Finance+$2
Biggest hit
+$20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 1?
Toughest beat
-$2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 30?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Over · St. Johnstone FC vs. East Fife FC: O/U 0.5$10020h ago
  • Cashed out No · Exact Score: AA Estudiantes 0 - 0 CA Tigre?$522h ago
  • Cashed out No · Exact Score: AA Estudiantes 0 - 3 CA Tigre?$222h ago
  • Bought No · Exact Score: AA Estudiantes 0 - 3 CA Tigre?$223h ago
  • Bought No · Exact Score: AA Estudiantes 0 - 0 CA Tigre?$523h ago
  • Bought Over · St. Johnstone FC vs. East Fife FC: O/U 0.5$991d ago
  • Cashed out Over · Glentoran WFC vs. Pyunik Girls: O/U 4.5$1001d ago
  • Cashed out Over · Glentoran WFC vs. Pyunik Girls: O/U 3.5$871d ago
  • Cashed out Over · Glentoran WFC vs. Pyunik Girls: O/U 2.5$971d ago
  • Bought Over · Glentoran WFC vs. Pyunik Girls: O/U 4.5$991d ago
  • Bought Over · Glentoran WFC vs. Pyunik Girls: O/U 3.5$861d ago
  • Bought Over · Glentoran WFC vs. Pyunik Girls: O/U 2.5$961d ago