← Whale Watch

LePaix

Predicting since Jul 2024393 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.1K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$23632¢49¢+$131
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8617¢20¢+$16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$8241¢44¢+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2914¢13¢-$4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1010¢12¢+$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$142.8¢1.8¢-$5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$3162¢0.0¢-$31
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$2550¢0.0¢-$25
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$768¢0.0¢-$7
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?MentionsYesResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$630¢0.0¢-$6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$405.6¢0.0¢-$40
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$3012¢0.0¢-$30
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$6030¢0.0¢-$60
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?MentionsYesResolved$660¢0.0¢-$6
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1224¢0.0¢-$12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$6242¢0.0¢-$62
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$295.7¢0.0¢-$29
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$1871¢0.0¢-$18
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?World CupYesResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$035¢0.0¢-$0
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$193.9¢0.0¢-$19

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.1K
World Cup-$548
Finance+$337
Formula 1+$183
Economy+$86
Mentions-$47
Soccer (other)-$29
Culture-$17
Tech-$14
Other sports+$12
Tennis-$10
Golf+$9
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$767
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$9023h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$125d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1465d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will England win on 2026-07-15?$010d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$410d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England win on 2026-07-15?$3711d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6411d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1011d ago