 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $46 | 17¢ | 80¢ | +$169 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | No | $140 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$30 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $150 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$18 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $158 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $119 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$19 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $120 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $120 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$8 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $150 | 91¢ | 77¢ | -$23 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $100 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 87¢ | 77¢ | -$11 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Tech | No | $80 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $85 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture | No | $80 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $78 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $60 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $42 | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$16 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 40¢ | 65¢ | +$21 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $50 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $50 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $71 | 80¢ | 58¢ | -$20 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $37 | 59¢ | 81¢ | +$14 |
 Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $41 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $45 | 51¢ | 57¢ | +$5 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $50 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | Yes | $40 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 56¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $30 | 62¢ | 95¢ | +$16 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 59¢ | 67¢ | +$5 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $49 | 57¢ | 51¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 63¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 57¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $23 | 66¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | Yes | $31 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 73¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Tech | No | $25 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $20 | 66¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $20 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $30 | 73¢ | 55¢ | -$7 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $20 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 64¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $20 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 26¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
| Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 83¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Boxing | No | $8 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $11 | 70¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 29¢ | -$9 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | Yes | $12 | 58¢ | 28¢ | -$6 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 46¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Culture | Yes | $28 | 55¢ | 5.5¢ | -$25 |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | No | $1 | 8.0¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?Premier League | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 4.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | SenegalResolved | $1 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $20 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |