 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $46 | 17¢ | 82¢ | +$173 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | No | $140 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$42 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $150 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$27 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $124 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$31 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $145 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $135 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $140 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $119 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$22 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $131 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $89 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $67 | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$24 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Tech | No | $80 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech | No | $89 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $85 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $93 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$6 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Tech | No | $70 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$11 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $60 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $65 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech | No | $73 | 73¢ | 61¢ | -$13 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $37 | 59¢ | 95¢ | +$22 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 40¢ | 69¢ | +$24 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $74 | 87¢ | 67¢ | -$17 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $50 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $55 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $50 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 63¢ | 79¢ | +$10 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$9 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $44 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $50 | 68¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 92¢ | 83¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $35 | 41¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | Yes | $31 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 63¢ | 87¢ | +$9 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$4 |
 Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $23 | 66¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $30 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $30 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $141 | 42¢ | 9.0¢ | -$111 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $20 | 66¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $20 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$6 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $20 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 64¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | No | $20 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $20 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Premier League | Yes | $20 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $20 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Tech | Yes | $15 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$2 |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $23 | 75¢ | 54¢ | -$6 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 62¢ | 25¢ | -$24 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$6 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 26¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 91¢ | 75¢ | -$3 |
| Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $10 | 5.7¢ | 5.6¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Boxing | No | $8 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $11 | 70¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Culture | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 24¢ | -$10 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | Yes | $12 | 58¢ | 24¢ | -$7 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $2 | 33¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$3 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $50 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $23 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?Premier League | NoResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $83 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Premier League | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out No · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?$1715h ago