US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19?Crypto | No | $5 | 47¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 54¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 45¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 55¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 36¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $8 | 76¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 51¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?Crypto | No | $2 | 17¢ | 65¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Politics | No | $6 | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Politics | No | $5 | 47¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | No | $6 | 76¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics | No | $4 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Crypto | No | $5 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 46¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Politics | No | $1 | 9.5¢ | 49¢ | +$4 |
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 28¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 45¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | No | $5 | 54¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $5 | 69¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 41¢ | -$3 |
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $3 | 30¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 26¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Politics | Yes | $3 | 62¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 57¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $4 | 40¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 21¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 58¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $2 | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $3 | 70¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 9.5¢ | -$8 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $3 | 28¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 40¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $2 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 42¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $1 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 51¢ | 9.5¢ | -$5 |