← Whale Watch

Parz1vaI

Predicting since Aug 20245,678 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Mentions markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $46K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.3K on Will Donald Trump say "Reagan" during his Michigan town hall?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$30K95¢99¢+$1.2K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$23K100¢100¢+$44
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$20K90¢91¢+$162
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$16K88¢84¢-$856
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$14K91¢94¢+$364
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$13K95¢96¢+$119
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$12K83¢82¢-$186
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$11K92¢95¢+$400
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$9.9K99¢99¢+$70
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.2K93¢97¢+$468
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.0K91¢98¢+$636
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$9.5K99¢100¢+$86
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$6.5K57¢73¢+$1.8K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$8.0K67¢68¢+$20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.2K67¢68¢+$67
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$6.7K94¢100¢+$421
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$13K94¢51¢-$6.0K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$6.8K63¢60¢-$358
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceNo$5.6K99¢99¢+$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$5.5K98¢99¢+$44
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$5.4K99¢100¢+$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$5.1K94¢96¢+$93
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$5.0K38¢40¢+$131
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$5.2K31¢25¢-$929
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$4.1K98¢99¢+$50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.7K93¢95¢+$60
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$3.5K84¢89¢+$186
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$2.7K73¢100¢+$976
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K93¢98¢+$142
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3.7K65¢56¢-$473
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$2.6K63¢69¢+$251
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K28¢56¢+$1.4K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$2.3K59¢64¢+$173
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K59¢68¢+$277
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.7K77¢83¢+$123
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K63¢90¢+$517
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?Other sportsYes$1.4K96¢100¢+$57
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$95567¢94¢+$394
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechNo$1.2K80¢87¢+$114
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K78¢80¢+$29
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K79¢91¢+$168
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?TechNo$1.1K75¢80¢+$66
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?TechNo$1.1K92¢97¢+$65
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$99085¢95¢+$114
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.3K51¢25¢-$1.2K
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K88¢95¢+$77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$94895¢99¢+$40
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?Soccer (other)No$79783¢99¢+$150
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1.2K15¢12¢-$295
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$86494¢96¢+$19
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$70463¢79¢+$175
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$8326.7¢7.0¢+$26
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$78794¢98¢+$30
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$98337¢23¢-$385
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$57186¢88¢+$10
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$54396¢100¢+$23
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$34058¢61¢+$16
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?CryptoYes$29721¢22¢+$14
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$17796¢99¢+$4
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1386.0¢7.5¢+$34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14874¢79¢+$9
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 1:00-2:59?Other sportsNo$13297¢100¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$9790¢100¢+$11
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10196¢99¢+$3
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?Other sportsNo$8492¢100¢+$7
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$6793¢99¢+$4
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBANo$3482¢99¢+$7
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?PoliticsNo$3090¢96¢+$2
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$3089¢95¢+$2
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? eSportsNo$2887¢97¢+$3
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$1351¢65¢+$4
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1890¢78¢-$2
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5152¢9.8¢-$41
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?PoliticsNo$986¢92¢+$1
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BoxingMayweather$551¢53¢+$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$596¢98¢+$0
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1522.7¢0.1¢-$149
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$961.0¢0.0¢-$96
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?CryptoYesResolved$2615¢0.0¢-$26
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$1.9K66¢0.0¢-$1.9K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Mentions+$14K
Politics+$4.5K
UFC / MMA+$2.9K
Crypto+$1.9K
Tech-$1.4K
Soccer (other)-$1.3K
eSports+$1.1K
Premier League+$1.0K
Culture+$981
Finance+$663
Basketball (other)-$593
Champions League-$449
Biggest hit
+$2.3K
Will Donald Trump say "Reagan" during his Michigan town hall?
Toughest beat
-$2.8K
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? $8991h ago
  • Bought No · New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? $38h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$3.0K10h ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by August 31?$6.4K10h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$010h ago