 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$44 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $1.7K | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$11 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$14 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$84 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$59 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $855 | 64¢ | 95¢ | +$415 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $991 | 51¢ | 66¢ | +$278 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$57 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $873 | 55¢ | 72¢ | +$271 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$24 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $940 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$100 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $1.5K | 86¢ | 58¢ | -$484 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $783 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$144 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $891 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $711 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$81 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $524 | 66¢ | 97¢ | +$248 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $720 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $835 | 64¢ | 57¢ | -$88 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $740 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $683 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$4 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $766 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$93 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $617 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$31 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $605 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics | No | $588 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $588 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $588 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $675 | 64¢ | 55¢ | -$103 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $560 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $632 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$67 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $594 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$36 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $529 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $428 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$71 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $500 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$31 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $465 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$3 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $454 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $719 | 80¢ | 51¢ | -$264 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $441 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $377 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$44 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $384 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$33 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $323 | 47¢ | 60¢ | +$86 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $373 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBA | No | $384 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $387 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $322 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$75 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $385 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $383 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $376 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $375 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $256 | 51¢ | 77¢ | +$129 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $383 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?Tech | No | $372 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $364 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $439 | 80¢ | 69¢ | -$60 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $370 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $320 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$52 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $352 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $358 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $364 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$6 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics | Yes | $316 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$34 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $307 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$37 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $287 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $304 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$36 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $333 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$5 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $312 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$22 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $381 | 76¢ | 66¢ | -$53 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $332 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$7 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $322 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$4 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $256 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$44 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $297 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $274 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$24 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $284 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | No | $281 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$6 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $223 | 60¢ | 75¢ | +$55 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $356 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$81 |
 Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $269 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $266 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $220 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$41 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?Politics | No | $256 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $247 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$8 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $237 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$14 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $236 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$14 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $207 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $128 | 32¢ | 61¢ | +$116 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $241 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $229 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $158 | 46¢ | 69¢ | +$78 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $195 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$39 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $205 | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$28 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $701 | 25¢ | 7.5¢ | -$494 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $161 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$45 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $206 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$4 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $198 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $181 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $182 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $194 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $168 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$31 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $191 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $196 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Bought Yes · Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$1251h ago