Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.4¢ | -$15K |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $34 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$34 |
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $31 | 50¢ | 67¢ | +$10 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11K |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15K |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $121 | 50¢ | 5.5¢ | -$107 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.7¢ | -$917 |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.5¢ | -$920 |
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $121 | 50¢ | 2.6¢ | -$114 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $121 | 50¢ | 2.1¢ | -$116 |
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.3¢ | -$924 |
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.2¢ | -$925 |
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$926 |
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$926 |
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $929 | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$926 |
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $75 | 50¢ | 1.6¢ | -$73 |
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 50¢ | 9.6¢ | -$9 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $164 | 50¢ | 0.5¢ | -$162 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $121 | 50¢ | 0.7¢ | -$119 |
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 50¢ | 1.6¢ | -$42 |
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q4 2025Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5 and 44.9 on October 31 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or higher on October 25?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Reformed Political Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $463 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$463 |
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $85 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Politics | YesResolved | $391 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$391 |
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $270 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $149 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $862 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$862 |
Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Politics | YesResolved | $1.9K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 27?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Tech | YesResolved | $98 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $67 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $5.1K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.1K |
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $6.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.5K |
Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?Politics | YesResolved | $139 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
Will Am I Okay? (Megan Moroney) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $159 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$159 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 10?Weather | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $2.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on November 15?Weather | YesResolved | $279 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$279 |
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $46 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will turnout be between 6.2 million and 6.6 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $296 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$296 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 9?Weather | YesResolved | $91 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $281 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$281 |
Will Jeannette Jara win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $344 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$344 |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $85 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $84 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Etuate Lavulavu be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?Politics | YesResolved | $930 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$930 |
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $437K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$437K |
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 8?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $41K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41K |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $4.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 20?Politics | YesResolved | $842 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$842 |
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $3.4K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $883 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$883 |
2025 September third hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $193 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$193 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 25?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $240 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
Will ChatGPT’s global AI chatbot market share be 84% or higher on October 31 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Adolph Dagan win TN-7 Special Election?Politics | YesResolved | $369 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$369 |
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $539 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$539 |