 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13K | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$233 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $12K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$347 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$323 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $4.7K | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 81¢ | 66¢ | -$1.3K |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $5.2K | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$270 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $4.4K | 58¢ | 69¢ | +$908 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.2K | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$937 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $4.2K | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$538 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $3.8K | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$753 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4.1K | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$61 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $3.6K | 72¢ | 66¢ | -$326 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 63¢ | 61¢ | -$77 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$628 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$193 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$397 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $1.7K | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$397 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$182 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$127 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$362 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 49¢ | 66¢ | +$368 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $2.0K | 85¢ | 57¢ | -$647 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $1.1K | 65¢ | 77¢ | +$196 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$806 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$100 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $840 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$154 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1000 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$17 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $932 | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$81 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $700 | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$144 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $1.5K | 41¢ | 24¢ | -$639 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $700 | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$72 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $600 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$119 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $700 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $486 | 65¢ | 92¢ | +$202 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $523 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$138 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $637 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $601 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$32 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $670 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$40 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $500 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$59 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $500 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
 Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $406 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$97 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $500 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $300 | 27¢ | 43¢ | +$176 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $415 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$61 |
| Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $624 | 48¢ | 36¢ | -$153 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 72¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3.2K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $867 | 28¢ | 12¢ | -$492 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $375 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$10 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $390 | 39¢ | 36¢ | -$35 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $300 | 54¢ | 62¢ | +$42 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $300 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$39 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $300 | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$36 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?Politics | No | $300 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$23 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$23 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $300 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $400 | 55¢ | 39¢ | -$116 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $300 | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 47¢ | 62¢ | +$65 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $427 | 82¢ | 51¢ | -$165 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $200 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $315 | 71¢ | 56¢ | -$65 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $300 | 43¢ | 32¢ | -$78 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $174 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $817 | 35¢ | 6.5¢ | -$666 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $127 | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $179 | 65¢ | 39¢ | -$73 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 46¢ | 70¢ | +$36 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $115 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$12 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | Yes | $121 | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$19 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$4 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$4 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $137 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$46 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $140 | 65¢ | 41¢ | -$52 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $300 | 47¢ | 12¢ | -$227 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 38¢ | 13¢ | -$135 |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | Yes | $72 | 36¢ | 33¢ | -$7 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $75 | 44¢ | 31¢ | -$24 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Tech | Yes | $45 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $60 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$17 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $60 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$23 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $830 | 83¢ | 3.4¢ | -$797 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | Yes | $334 | 27¢ | 2.5¢ | -$303 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Politics | Yes | $100 | 54¢ | 16¢ | -$70 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 6.9¢ | 16¢ | +$13 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | Yes | $64 | 79¢ | 28¢ | -$42 |
 Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?NFL | No | $30 | 83¢ | 61¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $100 | 38¢ | 7.5¢ | -$80 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $46 | 8.6¢ | 3.6¢ | -$27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $853 | 30¢ | 0.7¢ | -$834 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $40 | 12¢ | 5.1¢ | -$23 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.7¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?Politics | No | $12 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?Politics | Yes | $92 | 52¢ | 5.5¢ | -$82 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
