 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $947 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $826 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $631 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $432 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $399 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $399 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $398 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $249 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$6 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $209 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $185 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $184 | 100¢ | 97¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $162 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $170 | 99¢ | 85¢ | -$25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $140 | 99¢ | 95¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $36 | 55¢ | 85¢ | +$19 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $51 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $38 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$13 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Politics | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 48¢ | +$15 |
| Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 18¢ | 32¢ | +$16 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 25¢ | 38¢ | +$11 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $18 | 41¢ | 69¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $22 | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$6 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$5 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $17 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $21 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $17 | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.8¢ | 33¢ | +$18 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Politics | No | $13 | 57¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $21 | 44¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 69¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $17 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
| Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $10 | 39¢ | 64¢ | +$7 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 25¢ | 51¢ | +$8 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 99¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $12 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $8 | 36¢ | 62¢ | +$6 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 99¢ | 71¢ | -$5 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | No | $8 | 48¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
 Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $13 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 48¢ | +$8 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Politics | Yes | $13 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $9 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 26¢ | 44¢ | +$4 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $14 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 22¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 51¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 28¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 8.2¢ | -$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $5 | 55¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 43¢ | +$7 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Politics | Yes | $11 | 28¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 12¢ | +$6 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Other | Yes | $9 | 57¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $50 | 7.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 68¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?Tech | Yes | $12 | 65¢ | 39¢ | -$5 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 88¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $33 | 22¢ | 4.5¢ | -$26 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | No | $4 | 53¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 19¢ | 8.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 48¢ | +$3 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 7.3¢ | 7.0¢ | -$0 |
