 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $105 | 54¢ | 97¢ | +$83 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $140 | 30¢ | 35¢ | +$21 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 12?Weather | No | $144 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $125 | 35¢ | 43¢ | +$27 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 12?Weather | No | $145 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $128 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $118 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 11?Weather | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 76¢ | +$118 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 12?Weather | No | $114 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?Weather | No | $110 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 12?Weather | Yes | $77 | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
 Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?Politics | Yes | $70 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?Weather | No | $74 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $77 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $82 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Politics | No | $65 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $39 | 41¢ | 63¢ | +$21 |
 Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other) | No | $60 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?Weather | Yes | $51 | 57¢ | 67¢ | +$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12?Weather | Yes | $54 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $51 | 61¢ | 70¢ | +$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 52¢ | +$53 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $47 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$10 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $37 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Politics | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 43¢ | +$9 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $38 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $36 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $33 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $35 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $41 | 36¢ | 29¢ | -$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 23¢ | +$33 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $25 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $27 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 12?Weather | No | $31 | 76¢ | 64¢ | -$5 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $25 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $37 | 30¢ | 18¢ | -$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $18 | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $18 | 34¢ | 41¢ | +$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 12?Weather | No | $20 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 63¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $18 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?Weather | No | $17 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 16¢ | 33¢ | +$9 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech | No | $18 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 37¢ | 28¢ | -$6 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $14 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Blue wave in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $13 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $18 | 55¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Politics | Yes | $13 | 34¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $13 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $13 | 48¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $13 | 42¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $24 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$9 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 52¢ | 33¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | No | $12 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 37¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $43 | 66¢ | 22¢ | -$29 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 23¢ | +$4 |
 Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $10 | 63¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $13 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 64¢ | +$13 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $12 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $9 | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $12 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 62¢ | 37¢ | -$8 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 37¢ | 17¢ | -$14 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $10 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
| Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $32 | 12¢ | 4.2¢ | -$21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 12?Weather | No | $9 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $11 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $9 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | No | $6 | 55¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
Bought No · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$11m ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 12?$429m ago
Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?$333m ago
Sold No · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$135m ago
Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$940m ago
Bought Yes · Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 20°C or below on September 13?$1443m ago
Bought Yes · Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?$144m ago
Bought No · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?$156m ago