 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $181 | 43¢ | 48¢ | +$19 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $110 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $181 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$81 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $204 | 27¢ | 9.5¢ | -$131 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $194 | 18¢ | 5.0¢ | -$140 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 49¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $38 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $47 | 4.2¢ | 3.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $27 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$7 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $30 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $49 | 4.6¢ | 2.8¢ | -$19 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 8.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 8.9¢ | 5.5¢ | -$15 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $13 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$12 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $27 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $28 | 10¢ | 8.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 10¢ | +$15 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $32 | 8.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will Trump deport less than 200k people?Politics | Yes | $109 | 14¢ | 1.9¢ | -$94 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $20 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $24 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$11 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 31¢ | 11¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $10 | 1.2¢ | 1.3¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $28 | 3.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$18 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.7¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
 Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?La Liga | Yes | $14 | 3.5¢ | 1.8¢ | -$7 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
 Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years?Culture | Yes | $4 | 3.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 6.3¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years?Culture | Yes | $11 | 7.6¢ | 4.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $9 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $131 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$126 |
 Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 1.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 41¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $6 | 1.5¢ | 0.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $16 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.7¢ | 9.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $27 | 13¢ | 1.3¢ | -$25 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $13 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1 | 52¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Finance | NoResolved | $166 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$166 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $108 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?Weather | YesResolved | $91 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $28 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $61 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $41 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $330 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?Culture | NoResolved | $26 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?World Cup | NoResolved | $40 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $9 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $53 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $53 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $95 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $112 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $81 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $98 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)World Cup | TürkiyeResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $55 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $32 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Neither team to score first?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $72 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $28 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $123 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $239 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$239 |