Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $77 | 9.6¢ | 13¢ | +$28 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $99 | 47¢ | 42¢ | -$10 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $59 | 24¢ | 34¢ | +$25 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $73 | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $62 | 42¢ | 54¢ | +$18 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $53 | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$16 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?Culture | Yes | $150 | 7.9¢ | 2.1¢ | -$110 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 7.8¢ | 9.5¢ | +$7 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 4.2¢ | 7.8¢ | +$15 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $9 | 9.2¢ | 28¢ | +$18 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $13 | 6.0¢ | 12¢ | +$13 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $36 | 6.0¢ | 4.2¢ | -$11 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 11¢ | +$17 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $24 | 12¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $18 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Culture | Yes | $59 | 9.6¢ | 3.1¢ | -$39 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $23 | 3.3¢ | 2.8¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?Politics | Yes | $109 | 14¢ | 2.3¢ | -$91 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Finance | No | $22 | 2.9¢ | 2.1¢ | -$6 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $141 | 13¢ | 1.4¢ | -$126 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 2.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Culture | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 6.3¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Culture | Yes | $9 | 9.7¢ | 7.9¢ | -$2 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $6 | 1.5¢ | 1.4¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $20 | 6.2¢ | 1.4¢ | -$15 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.7¢ | 33¢ | +$4 |
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$5 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 23¢ | 0.8¢ | -$44 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3 |
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1 | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $225 | 8.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$224 |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $8 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?Culture | No | $5 | 8.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$4 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$1 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Finance | NoResolved | $166 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$166 |
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $108 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?Weather | YesResolved | $91 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $61 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $41 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?Culture | NoResolved | $26 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?World Cup | NoResolved | $40 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $53 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $95 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $81 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $98 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)World Cup | TürkiyeResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $55 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $32 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Neither team to score first?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $72 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $123 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $305 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$305 |
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $42 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Ghana?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | NoResolved | $45 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $24 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $44 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)World Cup | TürkiyeResolved | $11 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |