← Whale Watch

0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c293

Predicting since Oct 20241,494 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $17K on Culture markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $958 across 16 Soccer (other) markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.0K on Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechNo$779.6¢13¢+$28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$9947¢42¢-$10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$5924¢34¢+$25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechNo$7356¢63¢+$8
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$6242¢54¢+$18
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$5366¢87¢+$16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?CultureYes$1507.9¢2.1¢-$110
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechNo$337.8¢9.5¢+$7
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$369.0¢9.5¢+$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$184.2¢7.8¢+$15
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?CultureYes$99.2¢28¢+$18
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?CultureYes$136.0¢12¢+$13
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$366.0¢4.2¢-$11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$52.5¢11¢+$17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?TechYes$246.0¢5.5¢-$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$2813¢11¢-$6
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?TechYes$2412¢10¢-$4
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$1836¢40¢+$2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?CultureYes$599.6¢3.1¢-$39
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$233.3¢2.8¢-$4
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?PoliticsYes$10914¢2.3¢-$91
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$189.0¢8.5¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceNo$222.9¢2.1¢-$6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$14113¢1.4¢-$126
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$222.4¢1.3¢-$10
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?CultureYes$1015¢16¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechYes$86.3¢7.5¢+$2
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$70.3¢0.4¢+$2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?CultureYes$99.7¢7.9¢-$2
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$91.1¢0.9¢-$2
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$50.4¢0.4¢+$1
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$61.5¢1.4¢-$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$312¢18¢+$2
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?CultureYes$206.2¢1.4¢-$15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$03.7¢33¢+$4
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$130.5¢0.1¢-$9
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$80.4¢0.1¢-$5
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$90.3¢0.1¢-$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$4623¢0.8¢-$44
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$50.8¢0.3¢-$3
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$40.4¢0.1¢-$3
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$103.4¢0.4¢-$9
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$152¢64¢+$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$2258.7¢0.1¢-$224
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$81.1¢0.1¢-$7
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?CultureYes$10.7¢0.7¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$131.9¢0.1¢-$12
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?CultureNo$58.0¢1.7¢-$4
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?CultureYes$03.0¢9.0¢+$1
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$20.1¢0.1¢-$1
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?FinanceNoResolved$16639¢0.0¢-$166
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10854¢0.0¢-$108
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?WeatherYesResolved$9119¢0.0¢-$91
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYesResolved$81.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$212.6¢0.0¢-$21
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?CultureYesResolved$1715¢0.0¢-$17
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$6161¢0.0¢-$61
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$4141¢0.0¢-$41
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$70.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4545¢0.0¢-$45
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?CultureNoResolved$2621¢0.0¢-$26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?TechYesResolved$1818¢0.0¢-$18
Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?World CupNoResolved$4040¢0.0¢-$40
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$6363¢0.0¢-$63
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?World CupYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$212.6¢0.0¢-$21
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$5353¢0.0¢-$53
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?CultureYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$2525¢0.0¢-$25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$9516¢0.0¢-$95
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?CultureYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$8158¢0.0¢-$81
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$9839¢0.0¢-$98
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)World CupTürkiyeResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$550.8¢0.0¢-$55
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$327.9¢0.0¢-$32
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$130.9¢0.0¢-$13
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Neither team to score first?World CupYesResolved$83.9¢0.0¢-$8
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$212.6¢0.0¢-$21
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$7274¢0.0¢-$72
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYesResolved$81.1¢0.0¢-$8
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$12341¢0.0¢-$123
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$201.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?EconomyYesResolved$30532¢0.0¢-$305
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$4242¢0.0¢-$42
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$212.6¢0.0¢-$21
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Ghana?World CupYesResolved$21.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$4545¢0.0¢-$45
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$241.0¢0.0¢-$24
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?World CupYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$70.8¢0.0¢-$7
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$4444¢0.0¢-$44
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)World CupTürkiyeResolved$113.6¢0.0¢-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Culture+$17K
World Cup-$4.5K
Politics+$2.3K
Weather+$1.3K
Tech-$1.2K
Soccer (other)-$1.1K
Mentions+$735
Economy+$589
La Liga-$265
Other sports+$233
NBA-$199
Boxing-$166
Biggest hit
+$4.0K
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?
Toughest beat
-$1.9K
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$220m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$4920m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$040m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$51h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$15h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$46h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$36h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$06h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$06h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$16h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$16h ago