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joakja2008

Predicting since Jan 2026411 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1524¢64¢+$24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$108.0¢18¢+$12
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$1030¢56¢+$9
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1028¢53¢+$9
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1036¢63¢+$7
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$1038¢62¢+$6
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1017¢28¢+$6
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1046¢69¢+$5
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1049¢73¢+$5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1046¢63¢+$4
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1062¢80¢+$3
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1056¢68¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1075¢90¢+$2
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$1068¢81¢+$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1053¢63¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1046¢53¢+$2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1037¢43¢+$1
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1038¢43¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$1066¢74¢+$1
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1061¢68¢+$1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1071¢79¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$1065¢72¢+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1063¢67¢+$1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1042¢44¢+$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1049¢51¢+$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1056¢57¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1020¢20¢+$0
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$1065¢66¢+$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$108.9¢8.8¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1068¢68¢-$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?EconomyYes$1067¢67¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1067¢67¢-$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1064¢63¢-$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1045¢44¢-$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechYes$1029¢28¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$1062¢60¢-$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$1036¢34¢-$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1039¢38¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1035¢34¢-$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1010¢9.5¢-$1
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1067¢64¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$1061¢57¢-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$1077¢71¢-$1
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$1043¢40¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1047¢44¢-$1
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1054¢49¢-$1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1063¢56¢-$1
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1063¢56¢-$1
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$1060¢53¢-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$1015¢13¢-$1
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?EconomyYes$1023¢20¢-$2
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$1063¢53¢-$2
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1076¢64¢-$2
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$1058¢49¢-$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1074¢61¢-$2
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$1020¢17¢-$2
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1072¢60¢-$2
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1063¢52¢-$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1029¢24¢-$2
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsNo$1073¢59¢-$2
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$1060¢48¢-$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1029¢23¢-$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$1060¢47¢-$2
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$1048¢37¢-$2
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$1031¢24¢-$2
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$1017¢13¢-$3
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsYes$1033¢25¢-$3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1013¢9.4¢-$3
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$102.1¢1.6¢-$3
OKX IPO in 2026?CryptoYes$1013¢9.0¢-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1052¢36¢-$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1025¢17¢-$3
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1066¢44¢-$3
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$1050¢33¢-$4
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1070¢46¢-$4
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$1019¢12¢-$4
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?CryptoYes$1055¢35¢-$4
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1054¢34¢-$4
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1036¢23¢-$4
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$1051¢31¢-$4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1040¢22¢-$4
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$1044¢25¢-$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1075¢42¢-$4
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$1027¢14¢-$5
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1037¢18¢-$5
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechYes$1041¢19¢-$5
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$1042¢19¢-$6
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureNo$1072¢31¢-$6
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$517¢14¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$421¢22¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1061¢21¢-$7
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1038¢13¢-$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1017¢5.5¢-$7
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$515¢8.5¢-$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1027¢7.5¢-$7
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1027¢3.4¢-$9
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?NBAYesResolved$1027¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?TechNoResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$2064¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$70
Culture-$67
Tech+$51
Crypto-$35
Economy+$29
Champions League+$16
World Cup-$14
Finance+$13
NBA-$10
MLB-$10
Soccer (other)-$9
Premier League+$3
Biggest hit
+$71
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$30
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$131d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$141d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$102d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$582d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$172d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$104d ago