 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 76¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $63 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $73 | 83¢ | 75¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $59 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 70¢ | 66¢ | -$3 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Politics | No | $53 | 66¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $35 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
 Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?Politics | No | $34 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 12%-15%?Politics | No | $34 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $31 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?Politics | No | $32 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $29 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 68¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 83¢ | 53¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $27 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | No | $28 | 55¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $33 | 65¢ | 48¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $25 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$2 |
 Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $24 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $20 | 49¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $20 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech | No | $23 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$4 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Politics | No | $24 | 61¢ | 46¢ | -$6 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 James Comey charges dropped by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $12 | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 59¢ | 42¢ | -$6 |
| Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $14 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $14 | 57¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
 Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Politics | No | $11 | 55¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 41¢ | 30¢ | -$5 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $11 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 55¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $12 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 73¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $9 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Politics | No | $9 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $13 | 32¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
 Will Chris Pappas underperform Kamala in New Hampshire?Politics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics | No | $9 | 45¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?Politics | No | $10 | 24¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | No | $7 | 41¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump say "Ticket" this week?Mentions | No | $10 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
 Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 25¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 4.3¢ | +$4 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Trump renames AI by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 75¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Tech | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 59¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 52¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
| Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $3 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $2 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | No | $3 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
 Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 5.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 9.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?$6235m ago