 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $19K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1.1K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10K | 52¢ | 71¢ | +$3.7K |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $12K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$872 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $9.6K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$314 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $7.1K | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$596 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $6.2K | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$590 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $5.1K | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$390 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5.1K | 54¢ | 54¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $5.0K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$82 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.5K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$175 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$988 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $4.2K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$204 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$302 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $2.9K | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$366 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.8K | 53¢ | 45¢ | -$642 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $2.4K | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$294 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.6K | 19¢ | 25¢ | +$429 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 28¢ | 44¢ | +$704 |
 Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$159 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$53 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$8 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | No | $1.4K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$90 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$101 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $817 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$116 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $778 | 60¢ | 71¢ | +$140 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $825 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$38 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $783 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$48 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $712 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$71 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $723 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$20 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $430 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$38 |
 Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $400 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $271 | 41¢ | 45¢ | +$22 |
 Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $214 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$24 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $136 | 2.9¢ | 4.7¢ | +$88 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $188 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $156 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$43 |
 Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Boxing | No | $170 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$14 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 31¢ | 87¢ | +$111 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $146 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $115 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$7 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$0 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $31 | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$11 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | Yes | $31 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 25¢ | 42¢ | +$13 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPolitics | Nothing | $23 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 6.9¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $54 | 27¢ | 8.8¢ | -$36 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 2.5¢ | +$11 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 29¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$5 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?Economy | Yes | $10 | 2.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 7.5¢ | -$17 |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in August?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $247 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Economy | YesResolved | $350 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $17 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $29 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $22 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $25 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $28 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Economy | YesResolved | $16 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $222 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$222 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Eric Schmitt as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $25 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Politics | YesResolved | $131 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | YesResolved | $160 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |