 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $70K | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$35 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $15K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$333 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $11K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$295 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $7.1K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$454 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $5.1K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$325 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$1.3K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.5K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$75 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $4.2K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$180 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4.1K | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$60 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$381 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$248 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $3.2K | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$155 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $2.9K | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$330 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2.4K | 57¢ | 71¢ | +$555 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
 Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$185 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $2.0K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$37 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | No | $1.4K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$97 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$51 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$132 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $817 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$47 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $783 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $723 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $705 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $428 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$122 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $475 | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$72 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $430 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$18 |
 Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $400 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$24 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | No | $207 | 52¢ | 74¢ | +$83 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $136 | 30¢ | 54¢ | +$108 |
 Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $214 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $188 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $156 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$31 |
 Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Boxing | No | $170 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 31¢ | 87¢ | +$111 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $146 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | Yes | $65 | 65¢ | 99¢ | +$34 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $49 | 7.2¢ | 9.4¢ | +$15 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 68¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaPolitics | Nothing | $23 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.9¢ | 1.3¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $54 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$31 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$5 |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Economy | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 55¢ | +$3 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 29¢ | 11¢ | -$16 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 2.7¢ | +$2 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 3.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?Economy | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 7.2¢ | +$1 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $17 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $29 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $222 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$222 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Eric Schmitt as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $25 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Politics | YesResolved | $131 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |