Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 38¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $1 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US forces enter Iran by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | MexicoResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ColombiaResolved | $1 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | PortugalResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 22?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | NorwayResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | South AfricaResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.1% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 21?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |