← Whale Watch

IrthBirth

Predicting since Nov 20246,006 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1255¢96¢+$9
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1568¢85¢+$4
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?PoliticsNo$940¢53¢+$3
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?CryptoNo$958¢74¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$772¢78¢+$1
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?PoliticsNo$523¢33¢+$2
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$1373¢40¢-$6
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?PoliticsNo$671¢80¢+$1
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$458¢96¢+$3
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$570¢94¢+$2
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoNo$466¢91¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$590¢94¢+$0
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$575¢85¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$731¢25¢-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$633¢27¢-$1
Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$474¢99¢+$1
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?PoliticsNo$362¢96¢+$2
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?PoliticsYes$628¢20¢-$2
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$354¢78¢+$1
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$330¢36¢+$1
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$471¢83¢+$1
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$368¢85¢+$1
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechYesResolved$242¢100¢+$2
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$357¢86¢+$1
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1253¢18¢-$8
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$356¢84¢+$1
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsYes$374¢92¢+$1
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026CryptoNo$237¢81¢+$2
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$254¢85¢+$1
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?CryptoNo$384¢96¢+$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyNo$375¢85¢+$0
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?FinanceNo$242¢75¢+$2
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?PoliticsYes$123¢68¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$416¢14¢-$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$376¢97¢+$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?PoliticsNo$372¢88¢+$1
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$458¢56¢-$0
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?NFLYes$113¢43¢+$3
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$368¢94¢+$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$369¢95¢+$1
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?CryptoNo$366¢89¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?PoliticsNo$374¢92¢+$1
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$423¢23¢-$0
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureNo$258¢90¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$134¢83¢+$2
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$254¢87¢+$1
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?CryptoYes$350¢52¢+$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$253¢91¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?PoliticsNo$459¢54¢-$0
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$273¢97¢+$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$379¢72¢-$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?PoliticsNo$250¢89¢+$1
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$370¢86¢+$1
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$363¢68¢+$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?PoliticsNo$249¢90¢+$1
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$258¢85¢+$1
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$357¢52¢-$0
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$123¢75¢+$2
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?CryptoNo$229¢54¢+$1
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureNo$242¢71¢+$1
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$523¢13¢-$2
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$252¢85¢+$1
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$466¢51¢-$1
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$353¢55¢+$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsNo$266¢91¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$257¢75¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$386¢78¢-$0
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?CryptoNo$281¢92¢+$0
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$262¢72¢+$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?CryptoNo$264¢87¢+$1
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$261¢99¢+$1
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?PoliticsNo$372¢69¢-$0
Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?NFLNo$261¢98¢+$1
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureNo$366¢51¢-$1
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?MLSNo$270¢83¢+$0
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$230¢39¢+$1
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$128¢64¢+$1
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsNo$137¢77¢+$1
Stripe IPO before 2027?TechNo$267¢97¢+$1
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$132¢53¢+$1
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$129¢77¢+$1
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$237¢48¢+$1
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$159¢94¢+$1
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$350¢34¢-$1
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?WeatherYes$133¢89¢+$1
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$157¢93¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$237¢50¢+$1
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?CryptoYes$233¢39¢+$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechNo$124¢72¢+$1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$156¢86¢+$1
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$143¢91¢+$1
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$141¢80¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$153¢95¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?PoliticsNo$142¢71¢+$1
Revolut IPO before 2027?TechNo$274¢95¢+$0
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoNo$270¢73¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$151¢85¢+$1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$258¢66¢+$0
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$160¢95¢+$1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$253¢48¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$157
Crypto+$57
Tech+$40
Tennis-$40
Mentions+$31
Culture+$24
Formula 1+$18
Economy+$16
Finance-$10
Other sports+$10
UFC / MMA-$8
Soccer (other)+$6
Biggest hit
+$90
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee
Toughest beat
-$109
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?$011d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$111d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?$111d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?$111d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$111d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$111d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$111d ago