← Whale Watch

LuckyPaul

Predicting since Dec 2025576 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Tech markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $1.9K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.3K on Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$57477¢100¢+$168
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$18794¢100¢+$13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$16683¢100¢+$34
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$13970¢76¢+$13
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on March 31?TechNoResolved$10797¢100¢+$3
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$9595¢100¢+$5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$5353¢63¢+$9
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?TechYesResolved$5596¢100¢+$2
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4998¢100¢+$1
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$4186¢100¢+$6
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1124¢100¢+$33
Human moon landing in 2026?TechNo$3394¢98¢+$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$4020¢4.3¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5110¢0.0¢-$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2550¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$98859¢0.0¢-$988
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1653¢0.0¢-$16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6513¢0.0¢-$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3569¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$13066¢0.0¢-$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2653¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5918¢0.0¢-$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2542¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$25924¢0.0¢-$259
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$241.8¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1938¢0.0¢-$19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$94.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$37134¢0.0¢-$371
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1156.1¢0.0¢-$115
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3725¢0.0¢-$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3264¢0.0¢-$32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1157¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2995¢0.0¢-$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1758¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11729¢0.0¢-$117
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffseSportsT1Resolved$3774¢0.0¢-$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9393¢0.0¢-$93
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$164.0¢0.0¢-$16
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 17?FinanceUpResolved$955¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$4146¢0.0¢-$41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$392.5¢0.0¢-$39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$408.0¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$4488¢0.0¢-$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1993¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$8080¢0.0¢-$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1845¢0.0¢-$18
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3620¢0.0¢-$36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4016¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3365¢0.0¢-$33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$71.5¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3864¢0.0¢-$38
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$220.8¢0.0¢-$22
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1358.5¢0.0¢-$135
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10134¢0.0¢-$101
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffseSportsAnyones LegendResolved$8374¢0.0¢-$83
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$28123¢0.0¢-$281
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$3115¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$22.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1487.4¢0.0¢-$148
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$904.5¢0.0¢-$90
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? NFLNoResolved$45.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1078.4¢0.0¢-$107
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10415¢0.0¢-$104
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29216¢0.0¢-$292
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2347¢0.0¢-$23
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffseSportsFukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingResolved$4473¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7212¢0.0¢-$72
Games Total: O/U 3.5eSportsOverResolved$6277¢0.0¢-$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3051¢0.0¢-$30
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$457¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnereSportsRED CanidsResolved$3570¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4556¢0.0¢-$45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$37854¢0.0¢-$378
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$18492¢0.0¢-$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11257¢0.0¢-$112
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$81.5¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$28014¢0.0¢-$280
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$771¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$80732¢0.0¢-$807
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5045¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$1.2K
Crypto+$561
Finance-$112
NFL-$72
eSports-$61
UFC / MMA-$54
Boxing-$40
Other-$38
Economy+$34
Politics-$30
Premier League+$23
Olympics+$19
Biggest hit
+$2.3K
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Toughest beat
-$508
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$554mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$554mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4284mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1464mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1664mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1874mo ago
  • Cashed out Under · Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5$204mo ago
  • Cashed out Under · Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5$204mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$104mo ago
  • Bought Under · Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5$164mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$104mo ago
  • Bought Under · Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5$194mo ago