← Whale Watch

pmlp

Predicting since Dec 20251,783 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$638¢34¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$627¢22¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$624¢17¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$343¢63¢+$1
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherNo$622¢14¢-$2
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$614¢8.5¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$621¢12¢-$3
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$357¢66¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$342¢46¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?CryptoNo$246¢61¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$351¢58¢+$0
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$350¢46¢-$0
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsYes$331¢30¢-$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$339¢37¢-$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$633¢14¢-$4
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$356¢44¢-$1
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?PoliticsNo$615¢5.5¢-$4
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$347¢35¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoYes$347¢30¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$525¢8.5¢-$3
Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$326¢13¢-$1
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?CryptoYes$345¢21¢-$2
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$234¢27¢-$0
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$333¢14¢-$2
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$632¢6.0¢-$5
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?Soccer (other)YesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23?La LigaYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?CultureYesResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7?CryptoYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10?CryptoYesResolved$718¢0.0¢-$7
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers FCResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$34.3¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?CryptoYesResolved$24.6¢0.0¢-$2
Hawks vs. KnicksNBAHawksResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17?CryptoNoResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$033¢0.0¢-$0
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?CryptoYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?CryptoYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?CryptoNoResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?CryptoYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?La LigaYesResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoWorld CupRonaldoResolved$66.5¢0.0¢-$6
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$032¢0.0¢-$0
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5La LigaUnderResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$01.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$634¢0.0¢-$6
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$434¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?CricketYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Iran leadership change by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?CryptoYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?La LigaYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?PoliticsYesResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$638¢0.0¢-$6
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?Premier LeagueYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$813¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$85
Crypto+$19
Cricket-$11
eSports-$10
World Cup-$9
La Liga-$8
Champions League-$7
Culture-$7
Premier League-$6
NBA-$5
Other sports+$5
Tech-$4
Biggest hit
+$48
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Toughest beat
-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?$314h ago
  • Bought No · Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?$323h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$31d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$41d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$32d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$22d ago
  • Sold Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$73d ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$33d ago