 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 36¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $134 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike EditionPolitics | NoResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Cashed out No · Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?$03mo ago
Cashed out No · Trump out as President by March 31?$53mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?$63mo ago
Cashed out No · US strike on Mexico by March 31?$113mo ago