Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $44 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 62¢ | +$21 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$6 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 7.7¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 50¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 52¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.9¢ | 78¢ | +$8 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $2 | 3.6¢ | 16¢ | +$6 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.6¢ | 55¢ | +$6 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 52¢ | +$5 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 50¢ | +$3 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 47¢ | +$5 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 38¢ | +$3 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 35¢ | +$4 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 62¢ | +$3 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.6¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $24 | 47¢ | 5.5¢ | -$21 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 24¢ | +$3 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.9¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.8¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $38 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $274 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$274 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $31 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $91 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $41 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $39 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 35°C or higher on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $70 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $102 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $21 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $23 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $76 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $85 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $86 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C or higher on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $21 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $21 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $21 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $101 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $88 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $137 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 24?Weather | YesResolved | $96 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $56 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $65 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $61 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or higher on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $76 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 28?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |