 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 4.8¢ | 87¢ | +$131 |
 Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 4.2¢ | 80¢ | +$128 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $27 | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$106 |
 Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $100 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$16 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 24¢ | 91¢ | +$84 |
 Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 99¢ | +$94 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 4.0¢ | 64¢ | +$90 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.6¢ | 44¢ | +$85 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $32 | 20¢ | 53¢ | +$52 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.2¢ | 79¢ | +$74 |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 77¢ | +$67 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $28 | 36¢ | 97¢ | +$47 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | No | $75 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Politics | No | $57 | 71¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $16 | 20¢ | 82¢ | +$50 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 90¢ | +$58 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.8¢ | 63¢ | +$59 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $15 | 11¢ | 45¢ | +$45 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $78 | 46¢ | 35¢ | -$20 |
 Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?MLB | Yes | $13 | 17¢ | 73¢ | +$45 |
 Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?MLB | Yes | $13 | 17¢ | 71¢ | +$44 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 89¢ | +$42 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $46 | 40¢ | 48¢ | +$9 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.6¢ | 56¢ | +$52 |
 Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Weather | Yes | $38 | 25¢ | 36¢ | +$16 |
 Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.1¢ | 53¢ | +$51 |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?Culture | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 94¢ | +$44 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.3¢ | 97¢ | +$46 |
 Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMA | No | $47 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSports | Yes | $10 | 8.3¢ | 40¢ | +$38 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.2¢ | 47¢ | +$42 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.8¢ | 61¢ | +$42 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 70¢ | +$34 |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5.8K | 45¢ | 0.4¢ | -$5.7K |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 3.4¢ | 90¢ | +$43 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?Weather | Yes | $4 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$41 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 89¢ | +$43 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 68¢ | +$33 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 2.7¢ | 95¢ | +$42 |
 Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleMLB | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 96¢ | +$36 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.9¢ | 72¢ | +$38 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 65¢ | +$31 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.4¢ | 38¢ | +$40 |
 Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.7¢ | 64¢ | +$39 |
 Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 48¢ | +$38 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $32 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$8 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 96¢ | +$34 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 77¢ | +$37 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $78 | 46¢ | 22¢ | -$41 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | Yes | $1 | 1.5¢ | 38¢ | +$36 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 37¢ | +$12 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 76¢ | +$36 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.3¢ | 92¢ | +$35 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 76¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 36¢ | +$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?Weather | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$32 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 3.7¢ | 46¢ | +$32 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $153 | 191¢ | 44¢ | -$118 |
 Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 43¢ | +$32 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 52¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | No | $33 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie A | Yes | $7 | 4.2¢ | 18¢ | +$25 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Weather | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 33¢ | +$8 |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 65¢ | +$20 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $16 | 20¢ | 40¢ | +$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on September 9?Weather | Yes | $3 | 9.1¢ | 91¢ | +$29 |
 Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 64¢ | +$30 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 9.1¢ | 78¢ | +$27 |
 Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 78¢ | +$29 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 87¢ | +$29 |
 Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 60¢ | +$24 |
 Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.9¢ | 43¢ | +$28 |
 Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.7¢ | 59¢ | +$28 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $26 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 33¢ | +$26 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 75¢ | +$27 |
 Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | Yes | $1 | 2.7¢ | 60¢ | +$27 |
 Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.8¢ | 43¢ | +$25 |
 Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 89¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $31 | 78¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 36¢ | +$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 9?Weather | Yes | $2 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 87¢ | +$25 |
 Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics | No | $17 | 62¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
 Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
 Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.3¢ | 36¢ | +$24 |
 Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 50¢ | +$19 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 83¢ | +$24 |
 Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 5.5¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 31¢ | +$22 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.8¢ | 21¢ | +$21 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 49¢ | +$22 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?Economy | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 45¢ | +$17 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.8¢ | 37¢ | +$22 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.3¢ | 36¢ | +$20 |
 Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 24¢ | +$21 |
| Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $28 | 25¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $26 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSports | Yes | $6 | 8.3¢ | 33¢ | +$17 |
| Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 45¢ | +$10 |
MERGE Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$222m ago