← Whale Watch

mustbethewater

Predicting since Aug 202525,513 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.5K on Tech markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $3.0K across 12 Tech markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$225.0¢34¢+$127
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$75.0¢97¢+$137
Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?CultureNo$11884¢98¢+$19
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsYes$64.3¢93¢+$126
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$31.8¢82¢+$119
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2920¢80¢+$88
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$54.2¢84¢+$102
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$185.3¢27¢+$75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$53.8¢63¢+$84
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherYes$2425¢93¢+$65
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?Other sportsYes$1114¢99¢+$68
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$43.4¢77¢+$74
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsYes$32.8¢78¢+$72
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$6187¢89¢+$1
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$710¢86¢+$55
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$52100¢100¢-$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsYes$127.7¢34¢+$39
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?CultureYes$613¢100¢+$44
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$50100¢99¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$4773¢76¢+$2
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$50100¢98¢-$1
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$12.8¢98¢+$48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4999¢99¢-$0
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$23.3¢97¢+$47
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$23.8¢99¢+$46
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$35.5¢96¢+$45
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$23.1¢96¢+$46
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$4486¢93¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?WeatherYes$49.1¢100¢+$43
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$22.6¢51¢+$45
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?PoliticsNo$4794¢91¢-$2
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$35.5¢99¢+$43
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsYes$35.3¢89¢+$42
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$24.0¢94¢+$42
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsNo$4691¢88¢-$2
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$1020¢88¢+$34
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$4488¢86¢-$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$817¢83¢+$33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3652¢60¢+$5
Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$3280¢99¢+$8
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2973¢99¢+$10
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$3262¢76¢+$7
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$2114¢26¢+$18
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$3799¢100¢+$1
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$920¢80¢+$28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$23.6¢57¢+$35
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$35.3¢73¢+$34
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1020¢76¢+$27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$13.3¢91¢+$35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2958¢72¢+$7
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$64.0¢23¢+$29
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$2114¢23¢+$13
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$44.5¢43¢+$31
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$64.2¢23¢+$28
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2959¢63¢+$2
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$24.8¢77¢+$29
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$23.2¢64¢+$29
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$23.6¢50¢+$28
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$717¢72¢+$22
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?PoliticsNo$2753¢56¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?WeatherYes$109.1¢26¢+$18
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$2575¢84¢+$3
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$13.0¢71¢+$26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$817¢55¢+$18
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$2477¢81¢+$2
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢62¢+$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?WeatherYes$59.1¢42¢+$19
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$64.2¢16¢+$18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2526¢24¢-$2
Exact Score: FC Seoul 1 - 2 Ulsan HD FC?Soccer (other)Yes$35.9¢45¢+$19
Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 2 Ulsan HD FC?Soccer (other)Yes$35.9¢44¢+$19
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$2137¢40¢+$1
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$85.5¢14¢+$13
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$31.7¢13¢+$19
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$26.6¢67¢+$19
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$12.8¢42¢+$20
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$12.9¢97¢+$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?WeatherYes$59.1¢42¢+$16
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?EconomyYes$714¢41¢+$13
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$2548¢39¢-$5
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechYes$413¢66¢+$16
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$14.2¢97¢+$19
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$12.9¢37¢+$17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$665.3¢1.5¢-$48
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$817¢36¢+$9
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$714¢36¢+$11
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$36.3¢35¢+$15
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?Soccer (other)Yes$136.3¢8.0¢+$4
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$1446¢54¢+$3
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherNo$612¢32¢+$10
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyYes$613¢32¢+$10
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1052¢81¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 26?WeatherYes$39.1¢45¢+$13
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?UFC / MMAYes$96.3¢11¢+$7
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$1127¢37¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?WeatherYes$89.1¢19¢+$8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?WeatherYes$59.1¢27¢+$10
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$53.1¢10¢+$11
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$12.7¢32¢+$14
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$817¢29¢+$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$3.5K
Economy-$1.7K
Politics-$1.2K
Culture-$367
Formula 1-$343
Weather-$297
NBA-$292
MLB-$181
eSports+$100
Crypto+$99
Finance-$80
Soccer (other)+$79
Biggest hit
+$71
Counter-Strike: True Synergy Gaming vs Arrival Seven (BO3)
Toughest beat
-$51
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Recent moves

  • CONVERSION Fed Decision in July?$20017s ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5019s ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1019s ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5020s ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4120s ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5020s ago
  • CONVERSION Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?$35012m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4912m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$5012m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4312m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$5012m ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4312m ago